Wilma upgraded to MONSTER cat 5 (worst ever)

[Psalms34]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/190835.shtml

000
WTNT34 KNHC 190835
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2005

...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE REPORTED 884 MB...THE LOWEST
MINIMUM PRESSURE EVER MEASURED IN A HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC
BASIN...THIS VALUE SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION UNTIL CALIBRATED...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE TO PUNTA GRUESA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES...
270 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 365 MILES...
590 KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 175 MPH...280 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.

AN AIR FORCE PLANE JUST MEASURED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 884
MB...26.10 INCHES. THIS IS THE LOWEST PRESSURE EVER RECORDED IN A
HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN. HOWEVER...THIS PRESSURE VALUE
SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION UNTIL IT IS FULLY CALIBRATED.

WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15
INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS NEAR 25 INCHES IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN
ACROSS CUBA THROUGH FRIDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5
TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SWAN ISLAND...AND JAMAICA THROUGH
THURSDAY. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE FROM HONDURAS
NORTHWARD TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO THROUGH THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...17.2 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 884 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA

$$

 

[GutterRat]

This isn't looking good. My prayers go out to those in the Golf Coast.

 

[PorcelainHeart]

I wouldn't say the worse ever storm yet, we need her to run her course. She might weaken herself to death and become a 1 or a 2. It just scary she did this all over night when people were asleep. She might be the lamb of all the storms in the end.

 

[Psalms34]

Sure, it may weaken, but atm it's:

THE LOWEST MINIMUM PRESSURE EVER MEASURED IN A HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC
BASIN

That spells trouble.

 

[PorcelainHeart]

Gilbert who used to hold the record when he hit land was only a 2. He was also big as the whole gulf of mexico.

 

[Maynard Keenan]

Whats going on in the gulf.....

 

[PorcelainHeart]

Wilma is what's going on. She is mad!

 

[Quantos]

Someone need to call Fred, and have him straten her out

Any town called Bedrock in her path ?

 

[utdbear]

The Gulf will probably help weaken Wilma a considerable amount before making landfall, most likely making landfall as a strong Category 1 to a weak Category 3 storm. Still a strong storm, most likely mimicking the effects of Hurricane Charley.

 

[PorcelainHeart]

Fred must of really upset her. Rita was a weak 3 and still caused tons of damage.


theweatherchannel said her winds are 165 now.

 

[Ginny]

Someone need to call Fred, and have him straten her out

Any town called Bedrock in her path ?

I always knew she was a farce.

 

[utdbear]

Fred must of really upset her. Rita was a weak 3 and still caused tons of damage.


theweatherchannel said her winds are 165 now.

Louisiana and Texas also do not have the building codes that Florida has when it pertains to hurricanes. If anybody knows how to handle hurricanes, its Florida. There will be damage, but Florida was toughened by 3 'canes last year, and they'll make it through again.

 

[NinjaTurtles]

The Gulf is warmer now, so it's just making these storms stronger. Hmm...now who's been helping these water warm? I wonder where the people are that say a degree or two change in water doesn't mean anything, actually it does.

 

[TheBear]

...nevermind...

 

[PorcelainHeart]

Sadly, she is very beautiful. Not even Rita looked that good.

 

[utdbear]

The Gulf is warmer now, so it's just making these storms stronger. Hmm...now who's been helping these water warm? I wonder where the people are that say a degree or two change in water doesn't mean anything, actually it does.

Actually the Gulf is very cool, and shear conditions across will cause Wilma to weaken significantly as it makes its turn to the north and east. Wilma is in the southwestern Carribean Sea, which is always conducive to hurricane formation at this time of year.

 

[UberLutheran]

Actually the Gulf is very cool, and shear conditions across will cause Wilma to weaken significantly as it makes its turn to the north and east. Wilma is in the southwestern Carribean Sea, which is always conducive to hurricane formation at this time of year.

Water temperatures in the central Gulf of Mexico are averaging about 84 degrees right now -- well above the threshhold of 80 degrees needed to maintain a hurricane's strength. Wilma became a category five storm in an area with minimal shear and 88 degree water.

What will reduce Wilma's strength will be strong westerly shear provided by a deepening low pressure cell along a frontal boundary. Wilma will lose tropic characteristics soon after passing through Florida (it will change from a warm-core low to a cold-core low) but may well move along the northeast coast of the United States as a very strong extratropical low.

 

[Ave Maria]

Praying hard!

 

[CHARLES H]

The Gulf will probably help weaken Wilma a considerable amount before making landfall, most likely making landfall as a strong Category 1 to a weak Category 3 storm. Still a strong storm, most likely mimicking the effects of Hurricane Charley.

the gulf traditionally strenghens hurricans. remember both katrina and rita were cat.1 before entering the gulf.

 

[Petunia]

It has weakened to a category 4 now. Hopefully it will continue to weaken.


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