TerabyTe said:
At this point, it seems like a civil war between Shiites and Sunnis is about to happen, if not already happening. Surely, now that we're already there, we can somehow help solve that problem somehow?
I never agreed with us being there in the first place, but now that we already are, and the country's screwed up, we have to do all that we can to stabilize it. Exactly how I don't know, but since we made the mess, we should clean it up.
US/UK are unwilling to invest what would see us able to stabilise Iraq.
What we sent in, by way of military and reconstruction resources, was never more than an attack and control resource.
Yes we could take out Iraqi power; but that was the end of things. We did not have a conception which could realistically guide us. We did not put in the resources which would have seen us in control.
Having taken out Iraq control of Iraq, we triggered a social dynamic we could neither map or control. Which was what all the experts would have told us, before we went in.
Were we to up our investment in Iraq, by a factor of three or four: then maybe we could make some difference in Iraq; but it is unlikely that we could politically or economically pay up.
The reasons for the necessity for going into Iraq legally, is that sorting out Iraq had to be a genuinely global affair.
We didn't go in via such a legal doorway. We simply did not do the difficult work of mapping our way through what we intended. We did not rally an alliance globally.
The only possible outcome, given how we intervened, was degradation and suffering for Iraq and Iraqis: and in no way has that downward spiral ended; it will get worse and worse for those who live in this war zone.
I suspect that in a horrendous circumstance, if we are genuinely interested in the long-term welfare of Iraq and its peoples: then we pull out now; where Iraqi order of some kind, can be established on the other side of some struggle.
Perhaps we could force a federal structure.
But, it does look as if any pretence or hope of reconstruction of Iraq in our own image, is now forlorn and perverse.
Whatever now emerges, it does now seem, will be Iraqi. One question becomes, will the Iraqi authority we have established and backed, be an enduring and primary part in that Iraqi outcome.
We can break any power which stands up to us in a conventional fight. We can force protect our own.
We may have litte power to do much beyond that.