Moore's Law

[Diamond7]

Moore's Law is a prediction made by Gordon Moore, co-founder of Intel, in 1965 that the number of transistors on a microchip would double approximately every two years, leading to an exponential increase in computing power and a decrease in the cost per transistor. This prediction has largely held true and has been a driving force behind the rapid advancement of computer technology and the miniaturization of electronics. The impact of Moore's Law has been far-reaching, leading to the development of personal computers, the Internet, and many other technological innovations that have transformed our lives.

While the pace of progress has slowed in recent years, Moore's Law remains a fundamental principle that continues to drive innovation and progress in the field of computing. Today, researchers are exploring new materials and technologies that could enable the continued scaling of transistors and the realization of even more powerful and efficient computers in the future.

 

[SelfSim]

Moore's Law is a prediction made by Gordon Moore, co-founder of Intel, in 1965 that the number of transistors on a microchip would double approximately every two years, leading to an exponential increase in computing power and a decrease in the cost per transistor. This prediction has largely held true and has been a driving force behind the rapid advancement of computer technology and the miniaturization of electronics. The impact of Moore's Law has been far-reaching, leading to the development of personal computers, the Internet, and many other technological innovations that have transformed our lives.

While the pace of progress has slowed in recent years, Moore's Law remains a fundamental principle that continues to drive innovation and progress in the field of computing. Today, researchers are exploring new materials and technologies that could enable the continued scaling of transistors and the realization of even more powerful and efficient computers in the future.

Moore's law is an empirical relationship which demonstrates its value in making predictions.
Its not a law of physics, but it does demonstrate how collective humans will behave in a universe.

It also shows us the how of: we are alone in determining our own (collective) destiny in this universe, when it comes to our shaping it though the adaptation of our technologies.

 

[FireDragon76]

Moore's Law is broken now. Processor die size hasn't been getting smaller, in fact it's been getting bigger and more parallel, with higher transistor counts. This is particularly a problem for graphics processors for video games and AI projects, where the power consumption can be quite substantial. It's not uncommon for a modern, high-end graphics card to use 400-600 watts of power at peak.

 

[Diamond7]

Moore's Law is broken now.

Moore's law had to do with transistor. I remember when transistor radios came out in '67 and we could fit a radio in our pocket. They were a lot smaller than tube radios. Still, electronics and computers seem to be getting smaller. A computer was the size of a room when I was in college. Now we have a computer in our Telephone that we can fit in our pocket.

 

[FireDragon76]

Moore's law had to do with transistor. I remember when transistor radios came out in '67 and we could fit a radio in our pocket. They were a lot smaller than tube radios. Still, electronics and computers seem to be getting smaller. A computer was the size of a room when I was in college. Now we have a computer in our Telephone that we can fit in our pocket.

Processors still use transistors, they are just integrated onto a small die and are microscopic. They are burned onto silicon wafers using light lithography.

 

[FrumiousBandersnatch]

Moore's Law is broken now. Processor die size hasn't been getting smaller, in fact it's been getting bigger and more parallel, with higher transistor counts. This is particularly a problem for graphics processors for video games and AI projects, where the power consumption can be quite substantial. It's not uncommon for a modern, high-end graphics card to use 400-600 watts of power at peak.

IIRC, Moore's Law refers to the number of transistors on an IC. So, it may still be roughly true with around 50 billion transistors on some ICs, despite being very nearly at the lower limit of transistor size and with dies getting larger all the time...

 

[Diamond7]

Processors still use transistors,

Now we have molecular transistors. Is that not a continuation of Moores's law? We can use molecular transistors to control qubits. Giving us smaller, faster computers with quantum computing. Qubits can perform multiple calculations at once and can greatly speed up certain types of computations.

 

[Diamond7]

IIRC, Moore's Law refers to the number of transistors on an IC. So, it may still be roughly true with around 50 billion transistors on some ICs, despite being very nearly at the lower limit of transistor size and with dies getting larger all the time...

Molecular transistors are smaller than the transistors found on most integrated circuits (ICs). This is because molecular-scale devices can be fabricated at the nanoscale level, with dimensions on the order of a few nanometers or less. They would be smaller & faster, but right now they are not as stable.

 

[Diamond7]

It also shows us the how of: we are alone in determining our own (collective) destiny in this universe, when it comes to our shaping it though the adaptation of our technologies.

I do not think we are alone. People in Heaven are working on this stuff for us. New technology often does not work very well. It is usually not a good idea to be the first to buy anything. I bought a video camera thinking I could edit the video on my computer. But it did not work. Intel had to build the Pentium processor to do that. Texas instrument made the fireboard, but their techies kept telling me the problem was with Intel.