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the self replicating watch argument

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46AND2

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its true that english isnt my native. so i may not understand some words.

Well, you do quite well. You must have been speaking English for quite some time. However, I use a lot of metaphors, idioms and analogies which may be difficult to understand; I'll try to keep those to a minimum.




can you give evidence for that claim?

Yes, I have something in mind, but will have to do some digging to find it.
 
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Larniavc

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first: they dont need to be identical. they only need to be mammals. secondly: prove it by calculation .
Which calculation are you referring to?
 
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Anguspure

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And that "designer" will be God as conceived of by Creationists--none other will be tolerated. That is what the creation/evolution controversy is about. It is not a cosmic struggle between theismand atheism.
If you say so. But why must that be the case?
The God of Abraham is the uncaused cause of the universe and the greatest conceivable being. I'm not sure if it is necessary to invoke this persin to explain the phenomina of biological design. Certainly a number of people (including rDicky Dawkins) have suggested beings from within the Universe or even within this Galaxy as a possibility.
The evidence will lead wherever it leads.
 
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46AND2

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That "suggestion" by Dawkins is a quote mine.
 
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Speedwell

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No doubt. But so far it has not lead to right-wing YEC Protestantism, and the attitude of Christians of that persuasion towards non YEC Christians (not to mention towards atheists) has become intolerable.
 
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yeshuaslavejeff

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No doubt. But so far it has not lead to right-wing YEC Protestantism, and the attitude of Christians of that persuasion towards non YEC Christians (not to mention towards atheists) has become intolerable.
Well now,
if some border patrol agents came to your area of residence,
and started telling residents that your church and you and your family are unredeemed animals,
and proved it using the so-called science you seem to believe,
would
you say to the agents "God Bless You" and fix them a meal ?
 
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46AND2

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hmmmm.......
When someone hands you a counterfeit hundred dollar bill, how can you make it even more worthless ?

Uh...by burning it?

Counterfeit money has value with the right people.
 
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Speedwell

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Well now,
if some border patrol agents came to your area of residence,
LOL! Border patrol agents? You do realize that the war has been over for 150 years and your side lost? It's time you got over it.
and started telling residents that your church and you and your family are unredeemed animals,
Non-YEC Christians are telling you this?
and proved it using the so-called science you seem to believe...
If you really understood science you would know that science can prove no such thing.
...would you say to the agents "God Bless You" and fix them a meal ?
As difficult as it may sound to you, I believe that is how Christ taught us to behave. Of course I am used to having my faith denounced in such terms, having lived in the Bible Belt as a non-YEC Christian.
 
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Anguspure

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Anguspure

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You really need to read the book. I'm not going to reproduce Douglas Axes work here but here is an excerpt from one section:
To calculate the probability that half a page of random keystrokes would consist entirely of English words, we start with 1 and multiply by 1/31 (the probability of a letter grouping being a word) over and over, a total of 600 times. According to the principle of reciprocal scale, the number of half pages that would have to be filled with blind typing in order for one of them to consist entirely of words is expected to be roughly equal to the reciprocal of this multiplied fraction. Equivalently, we can start with 1 and multiply by 31 (the reciprocal of 1/31) over and over, 600 times. When that calculation is done, the printed result fills just over eleven lines with numerals, making this a paragraph-size number instead of a book-size number—fantastically big nonetheless. Living as we do in a universe that can’t produce two lines’ worth of physical attempts at anything, this eleven-line number delivers an overwhelming victory to the search space. In terms of the pin-dropping metaphor, the difficulty of the blind search finding even this meaningless jumble of short words equates to that of blindly hitting the cuna target forty-four times in a row (four hits per line, as noted in chapter 8).
 
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Speedwell

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Do you really think that "calculation" of yours has any resemblance or application to how evolution works? Or is just supposed to be a red herring?
 
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Larniavc

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the calculation that show why its impossible to evolve a mammal twice.
I didn’ say it was impossible.

I said it was not predicted by TOE.

I’ll ask again: do you know what falsification in this context means?
 
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Bugeyedcreepy

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I'm fine with probability and statistics, I'm asking how one measures "Design" in biological organisms with it. I don't see how it could be done, hence the post.

I also noted that as a Creationist, wouldn't everything be designed in your point of view? If so, then the point is moot to start with, and why even present this?
 
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Anguspure

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Do you really think that "calculation" of yours has any resemblance or application to how evolution works? Or is just supposed to be a red herring?
Here is an excerpt from a discussion between Douglas Axe and Hans Vodder on the topic:

As I said before, the accurate calculations of probability you call for are unnecessary, Hans. For example, you and I agree that instructions can’t appear by accident on the surface of alphabet soup despite having nothing like an accurate probability for this. The easy calculations I walk readers through in Chapter 9 give ridiculously generous upper-bound probabilities, which means the actual probabilities are much, much lower. Because these way-too-generous probabilities are themselves so low as to be effectively impossible, we know the same must be true of the actual probabilities.

The point of Chapter 9 is to show not just that some things are too rare to be stumbled upon by accident but, more significantly, why this must be true for all things that depend heavily on functional coherence. In a nutshell: every aspect of a hierarchical scheme like the one shown must be specially arranged, which means each is likely botched if left to chance. Getting the whole thing right by accident is therefore always fantastically improbable.

https://evolutionnews.org/2017/07/on-functional-coherence-another-serving-of-oracle-soup/
 
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46AND2

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As I said, creationists are horrendous at determining probabilities and knowing how to apply them.

This little excerpt has nothing to do with what we were talking about, and is in no way analogous to...um...I'm not even sure what it was supposed to be compared with.
 
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Anguspure

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Why? Yes I beleive that everything is designed, and the evidence presented provides some confirmation of my beleif, thus strengthening my faith in what I beleive.

Conversely, many years of observing the evolutionary circus and the way in which anybody who questions Darwins dogma is attacked and maligned, have only served to reduce my faith in Scientism.
 
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