tyreth said:
The calculation,a s far as I understood, took into account these factors.
Work out the math for yourself. You will see it only tracks the various possibilities of paternal/maternal chromosome inheritance with no reference as to whether the two chromosomes are different or not.
Of course, given any two specific parents, the exact values will vary, but 10^2016 is close to the average of today's human.
No they won't. Not unless you are dealing with one of those rare individuals that have an extra chromosome.
As long as both parents have 23 pairs of chromosomes, the possible assortments of paternal & maternal chromosomes is mathematically the same.
Actually, the article which I'm providing now (and is not the original source of the values I quoted) gives 10^2017. Not an important difference. Here it describes the important factors:
AiG is discussing random assortment of chromosomes. It is not discussing diversity of genes in the same locus. Until you understand this difference, you will not grasp what the issue is.
Let's look a little more closely at the article to see if I can explain the critical points.
So there are two genes at a given position (locus, plural loci) coding for a particular characteristic. An organism can be heterozygous at a given locus, meaning it carries different forms (alleles) of this gene. For example, one allele can code for blue eyes, while the other one can code for brown eyes; or one can code for the A blood type and the other for the B type.
When we speak of heterozygosity, we are noting that there is a difference between the pair of genes in an individual organism. Since no organism carries more than two copies of a gene, only two versions of a gene can exist in any one individual. OK?
Now when they speak of blood type they are correct to say that of the two genes, one can code for A and the other for B. What they don't mention is that there is a third blood type: type O. Now if one individual can have only two copies of a gene, and already has an A type and a B type--it cannot also have an O type. The only place the O type can exist is in a different organism.
All three types exist in the gene pool (the sum of all different types of a gene), but only two at a time can exist in each individual organism. Got it?
Ayala who is quoted in the article, is focusing on how much of the human genome shows heterozygosity. In how many places is it possible for the two genes an individual inherits to be different from each other.
This is a different matter entirely from how many different forms the genes may take. With blood type, the genes show 3 different types. Each individual gets either two genes of one type or one gene each of two types. But no individual gets all three types, because no individual has three of the same gene. Clear?
Now, when we are speaking of the diversity of genes, we are speaking of how many different types of genes exist in the whole population, not how many types exist in one individual. We know that no more than two can exist in one individual. But there can be many more than two types of the same gene in the population. There can be 3 or 11 or dozens or even hundreds of variants on the same gene in a population. But you also need a population size large enough to accommodate so much diversity in a single gene.
Obviously then, if YEC's are right, then the closer you move to the Adam & Eve, the higher this value would be.
No, it would be less, because as you reduce the population, you reduce the capacity for gene diversity.
AiG simply does not talk about gene diversity. It talks only about random assortment. But random assortment is not a source of gene diversity.
Let's look at the difference.
The article mentions two traits each with two expressions. Brown vs. blue eyes; A vs B blood type.
If both parents are heterozygous for both traits the possible combinations in the children are:
brown eyes + A blood type
brown eyes + B blood type
blue eyes + A blood type
blue eyes + B blood type
If we added a third characteristic (let's say thin lips vs full lips) the possible combinations double to eight. Each additional trait doubles the possible overall combinations with only two genetic variants each. So, yes, you can get a lot of unique individuals with only two variants per gene. But that uniqueness depends on combinations of
different traits each regulated by
different genes.
This is not the sort of difference we are looking at in evolution. In evolution we are looking at how many different types of each gene exist in the same locus in the total population and what percent of the total population shares the same variant. Changes in this percentage from one generation to another is the definition of evolution.
With hair colour for example, we have black, brown, blond and red hair (and many variations of each of these). Black and brown are much more common than blond (natural that is), and red, which depends on a double recessive, is the least common. When studying evolution, the scientist does not look for how many ways hair colour and blood-type can be combined. S/he looks for whether or not a hair colour is becoming more or less common. And at whether a new colour is appearing or an established one disappearing. That is what a scientist means by evolution. This has little to do with whether or not individuals are heterzygous, and nothing to do with how different traits/genes are combined to build different morphological profiles.
In random assortment, the focus is on how single individuals are endowed with combinations of
different traits.
In evolution the focus is on how different variations of the
same trait are distributed through the population, regardless of how they are combined with other traits. Is this clear?
Now, as we have already established, some genes exist in more than the two forms which can be found in a heterozygous individual. There are many which exist in more than the four forms which can be found in a pair of heterozygous individuals (assuming not only that both are heterozygous, but are also heterozygous for two different alleles i.e Jane is heterozygous for alleles A & B, and Jim is heterozygous for alleles C & D.)
As long as we have only two individuals, the maximum number of variants per gene is four. Even with mutation. Suppose Jane experiences a mutation in a germ-line cell that changes allele B to allele G. Fine, she can now pass on allele G to her offspring, but she no longer has allele B.
The only way to allow more alleles in the population is to increase the size of the population.
This is why, as we go back to Adam and Eve, there will be less rather than more genetic diversity. There is no way two individuals provide a physical basis for over 200 variants of hemoglobin. The most they can provide for is 4 variants. To get more, you need both a larger population and mutations to generate new alleles. And that takes time.