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Antibody test study indicates official figures might be reporting only 2 percent of cases.
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<blockquote data-quote="Halbhh" data-source="post: 74908832" data-attributes="member: 375234"><p>It was good while back now I learned that in 11 European countries (as estimated on March 28th) the likely spread was on the order of 50 or 60 times the detected cases (from <em>The Economist</em> ), I don't know a basis to be able to estimate the death rate could be as low as .2% -- that seems unlikely/speculative to me. How can you calculate a death rate while a significant portion of the people that could die are still on ventilators, and many won't resolve one way or another for weeks yet? The lowest possible death rate (based on piecing some things together and many assumptions) I could calculate based on stuff I've read even if most survived (and that would be very unlikely) is more like .4%. But gov Cuomo reports that about 80% that are on ventilators won't make it off alive.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Halbhh, post: 74908832, member: 375234"] It was good while back now I learned that in 11 European countries (as estimated on March 28th) the likely spread was on the order of 50 or 60 times the detected cases (from [I]The Economist[/I] ), I don't know a basis to be able to estimate the death rate could be as low as .2% -- that seems unlikely/speculative to me. How can you calculate a death rate while a significant portion of the people that could die are still on ventilators, and many won't resolve one way or another for weeks yet? The lowest possible death rate (based on piecing some things together and many assumptions) I could calculate based on stuff I've read even if most survived (and that would be very unlikely) is more like .4%. But gov Cuomo reports that about 80% that are on ventilators won't make it off alive. [/QUOTE]
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Antibody test study indicates official figures might be reporting only 2 percent of cases.
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