Worldwide COVID-19 Total Confirmed Cases Tops One Million

The IbanezerScrooge

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Subduction Zone

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And at current rates of growth we are only about a week out from a million deaths worldwide. The link provided shows a graph in both linear and logarithmic form. One can use the logarithmic form to predict future cases:

Coronavirus Death Toll and Trends - Worldometer
 
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The IbanezerScrooge

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Just running the known numbers:

Active cases:
1,002,159 - 51,485 - 208,949 = 741,725

Global Death Rate:
51,485 / 1,002,159 * 100 = 5.13%

Death Rate among Resolved:
51,485 / (51,485 + 208,949) * 100 = 19.76%

Projected Deaths from current active cases (snapshot):
741,725 * .1976 = 146,564
 
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dqhall

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And at current rates of growth we are only about a week out from a million deaths worldwide. The link provided shows a graph in both linear and logarithmic form. One can use the logarithmic form to predict future cases:

Coronavirus Death Toll and Trends - Worldometer
Your math seems skewed. If one million people are sick, they do not all die in a week as the illness lasts for two to six weeks.
 
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The IbanezerScrooge

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Just want to point out that I posted this 11 days ago and we will likely reach 2 million by EOD tomorrow.

Global Death rate is up to 6.1%

Resolved Case Death rate is hovering around 21%

Projected deaths from current active cases is about 283,000
 
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dqhall

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Just want to point out that I posted this 11 days ago and we will likely reach 2 million by EOD tomorrow.

Global Death rate is up to 6.1%

Resolved Case Death rate is hovering around 21%

Projected deaths from current active cases is about 283,000
China’s death rate turned out to be 4%. They had hospital infrastructure through their epidemic. They may have used drugs and therapy not in use elsewhere in the world.

They approved Avigan. They experimented with hydroxychloroquine. They reported success with convalescent plasma therapy. They had access to Remdesivir in unknown quantities. One of their companies learned how to make it.
 
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