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They would be able to increase those profits by increasing their output, even if it's for a shorter period of time. If prices then start to recede too much, they could always cut back.
If we go by what you're saying and pointing to as far as what the oil companies are doing and how much they're making, then wouldn't it make sense for them to actually cut back their production? Cut it back until oil is $200 before increasing it again. But they're not doing that, even though it would mean bigger profits.
Hi @Aldebaran
Listen, you can believe what you want to about crude oil production. I'm not involved in that business so I have to rely on people that I believe to know what they are talking about to tell me what's going on. Thus, I have included the articles that I did. Are you working in the board room of a crude oil company? If so, then I would take what you're saying as being the truth. If not, then I'm guessing that you really don't know all the ins and outs that make up the decisions that big crude oil producers use to determine if they're going to drill for more oil or not. The articles that I've linked say that they aren't, at the present time, particularly interested in drilling for new oil. They list the reasons why and you're free to accept those reasons as being valid or not. What I know, is that crude oil is about $110/bbl and that makes refined gasoline just over $3.75 in my neck of the woods.
Now, I'm sure, that a time will come when they will drill for more oil. They may even be doing some new drilling now, but as I posted in my previous explanation, bringing new oil to market is neither as cheap or as fast as turning on a new electrical service at someone's home. The oil producers had shut down a lot of drilling capabilities when the pandemic began to curtail a lot of driving and it would seem that bringing it back up to previous levels is not as easy as just flipping that electrical switch at your home either.
However, none of this has anything to do with Pres. Biden's decision to stop selling new oil leaseholds and he is now beginning to restart some of those sales but with some additional requirements in place. I will repeat, and again you are free to believe it or not, there are already 9,000 approved and ready permits for oil companies to put bits in the ground and start drilling for new oil. But it isn't cheap and it isn't fast, so don't expect there to be any changes in the next couple of months, no matter what big oil does in this situation.
God bless,
Ted
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