Thank you for stopping. You obviously haven't learned how big conspiracies rely on compartmentalization or how purposes can be layered.The biggest problem with conspiracy theories is that the bigger the theory, the bigger the incident, the longer the chain of improbable events has to be.
If i'm flipping a coin, there is a 50/50 chance that I will flip heads instead of tails.
The odds of me flipping 2 heads in a row is 25%, 3 heads in a row is 12.5%.... Now, if I were to flip a coin a thousand times in a row, I'm sure to get some random streaks of flipping heads like 7 times in a row... The odds for flipping heads 7 times in a row is like 1 in 128 or 0.7% and the odds of flipping heads 20 times in a row is like 1 in 2 million. If I flipped a coin a billion times i'd probably get a couple of streaks of getting heads 20 times in a row...
Well, the chain of events for a conspiracy theory dwarf that of flipping coins and landing heads 20 times in a row.
how many people would be required to wire the Twin Towers to blow? How long would it take? How could it been done without discovery? How do you defeat surveillance cameras? Who do you hire and how do you hire them?
I would think it would take an easy 50 people to wire the Twin Towers to blow. That is 50 failure points. That is 50 people who need to keep a secret indefinitely for the rest of their lives. How long would it take to wire? I'd think at least a few months, in fact longer because it has to be done in secret. So that means you need a means to hide the explosives for months?
I'll just stop there.
Sure, it is possible the US government orchestrated 9/11-- But it is not probable. If you were to outline all of the things that would have to happen for this to be the case, and if you assigned a mathematical probability for each action-- by the end of the chain of events you'd end up with a number so ridiculously improbable you'd have a better chance of winning the Powerball lottery 10 times in a row.
Thank you for stopping. You obviously haven't learned how big conspiracies rely on compartmentalization or how purposes can be layered.
It's OK.
We all have to go through that.
Couldn't tell any of that from what you said.QUOTE="dgiharris, post:Having had SCI and top secret clearance, I'm well aware of compartmentalization and layering for security.
Regardless, in this universe you still have to obey the laws of mathematics. There is no getting around that.
That's not true or they wouldn't exist and proliferate as well as they do.And conspiracy theories suffer from improbability.
I know. You found it overwhelming. I don't. Just a matter of scale.In order for any action to occur, there needs to be a chain of events.
Every event has a mathematical probability associated with it
In order for X to occur oftentimes there is another variable that must occur, sometimes 2 variables, sometimes a hundred variables...
You are judging from a normal worldview. Of course you're not going to be able to imagine operations that are a success even if they fail. You can't imagine the scope of satan's plan. Propbably not all your fault, especially if you attend church faithfully.The bigger the action, usually the more variables involved. It is one thing to hire a sniper to sit atop a tower and shoot someone from 1000 yards, it's quite another to have a minimum of 50 people on a course of action that requires months to carry out and there is a chance of discovery every second of every day with each action having a chain of events a mile long and up to a hundred variables and failure points each...
LOL, report what? To who? Hopefully not to someone like you who would dismiss it out of hand as an improbable conspiracy theory! lolThen there is the accessibility and proliferation of video surveillance equipment and ability of anyone with cold feet to report anonymously....
You're not supposed to. You are supposed to feel alienated and vaguely hostile toward the very idea that you are and have been deceived.Again, I'm not saying it is impossible... I'm saying it is very very improbable to the point of almost being impossible. So, I just can't really believe it