Recession on the Horizon?

[Yekcidmij]

Morgan Stanley: Get defensive because the inverted yield curve is sending a message

The 10yr-3month yield curve inverted for the first time since the financial crisis. The inversion of this yield curve is one of the only consistent predictors of a recession and usually signals a recession is about a year on the horizon. There may be a recession just in time for campaign season 2020.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=noTy

 

[Julian of Norwich]

Morgan Stanley: Get defensive because the inverted yield curve is sending a message

The 10yr-3month yield curve inverted for the first time since the financial crisis. The inversion of this yield curve is one of the only consistent predictors of a recession and usually signals a recession is about a year on the horizon. There may be a recession just in time for campaign season 2020.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=noTy

Interesting! I would like to hear it from more than ne source tho', although I know that we're due for one.

 

[FireDragon76]

That's not surprising. Economists have been predicting a recession either this year or the next in the past year.