Presidential Election Polls

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Down 6.6% now, despite a win by his VP. The spiral continues, Trump needs 2 knockout debate performances to really turn this around, now that the october surprise fell through.
October is not over.
 
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Cearbhall

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October is not over.
Let's look at recent comebacks...

Reagan was behind by 4 points in Oct. 1980.
Truman was behind by around 5 points in Oct. 1948.

And that's it. Even if it were that close, he wouldn't have much of a chance, and he's even further behind than that.
 
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Albion

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Let's look at similar past comebacks...

Reagan was behind by 4 points in Oct. 1980.
Truman was behind by around 5 points in Oct. 1948.

And that's it. Trump is behind by much more than that.
According to the NBC poll.

I would certainly not recommend trusting any poll that was conducted by any organization that has already publically stated its unswerving opposition to one of the candidates, either one.
 
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Cearbhall

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According to the NBC poll.
Your words, not mine. I didn't cite any poll. I was thinking of multiple ones, actually. Which scientific national poll shows him less than 5 points behind?
 
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Albion

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The poll that Clinton was crowing about for showing her in a double digit lead was the NBC/WSJ poll, and both of those companies have announced against Trump. This is the most lopsided of the recent polls, so of course you like it. But none of the other polls, and especially not the proven and reputable ones by established polling companies like Rasmussen, have come in with anything like this poll.
 
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Cearbhall

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The poll that Clinton was crowing about for showing her in a double digit lead was the NBC/WSJ poll, and both of those companies have announced against Trump. This is the most lopsided of the recent polls, so of course you like it.
To whom are you speaking?
 
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cow451

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The poll that Clinton was crowing about for showing her in a double digit lead was the NBC/WSJ poll, and both of those companies have announced against Trump. This is the most lopsided of the recent polls, so of course you like it. But none of the other polls, and especially not the proven and reputable ones by established polling companies like Rasmussen, have come in with anything like this poll.
Democrat Hillary Clinton has jumped to a 7-point lead over Republican rival Donald Trump, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports poll released on Monday.

When Rasmussen has a Democrat ahead, she's really ahead.
 
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Cearbhall

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Here are all the most recent national polls:

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Source
 
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Cearbhall

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Rasmussen = 5 point difference. Just about the range you were talking about. And look at all the others that put it in single digits.
Yep. Now I know! That's why I look at all the polls.
 
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Albion

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Yep. Now I know! That's why I look at all the polls.
Fine. Look at all the polls. Almost all of them have the race in single digits and the NBC poll is among only a handful that had it out of that range. Even it showed a 2% gain for Trump overnight.
 
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cow451

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Rasmussen = 5 point difference. Just about the range you were talking about. And look at all the others that put it in single digits.
Look at "Adjusted" and it's 7%. Rasmussen is a "C"-rated poll based on it's history.
 
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