Presidential Election Polls

[AirPo]

Ohio now leaning Clinton, Trump loses Iowa.

 

[Vylo]

The electoral map is getting bad at such a rapid pace for him. He can't bail on the debates, it will be one of the only chances he has of rebounding.

 

[AirPo]

The electoral map is getting bad at such a rapid pace for him. He can't bail on the debates, it will be one of the only chances he has of rebounding.

What do you think, any chance of Hillary hitting 400?

 

[Goonie]

The electoral map is getting bad at such a rapid pace for him. He can't bail on the debates, it will be one of the only chances he has of rebounding.

He's relying on a sept/October Putin surprise. Ie what goodies did those hackers get from DNC servers.

 

[Vylo]

He's relying on a sept/October Putin surprise. Ie what goodies did those hackers get from DNC servers.

It's gonna have to happen pretty early in october to overcome the current momentum.

 

[AirPo]

The electoral map is getting bad at such a rapid pace for him. He can't bail on the debates, it will be one of the only chances he has of rebounding.

He's losing ground in red states! Kansas and South Carolina have changed from strong GOP to likely and barley, respectively.

 

[cow451]

Sabatos Crystal Ball, more a forecasting model, has Clinton in a rout. The model forces a "no-tie" approach. Even if the "Leaners" are taken out, Clinton has 269 electoral votes.

 

[AirPo]

And now it's affecting the senate.

Dem50

Ties1
GOP49

 

[Goonie]

I see the latest La Times/USC poll has them tied 44/44
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...s/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

 

[cow451]

I see the latest La Times/USC poll has them tied 44/44
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...s/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html

E-l-e-c-t-o-r-a-l C-o-l-l-e-g-e..........

 

[Vylo]

Trump has managed to pull his national average back to 7.6% behind, it appears to be primarily Clinton declining in popularity.

 

[Hovi]

People are going to be surprise when Trump wins. In this election there will be a lot of confusion because polls will have Hillary winning but the end result will be a Trump victory.

 

[Vylo]

People are going to be surprise when Trump wins. In this election there will be a lot of confusion because polls will have Hillary winning but the end result will be a Trump victory.

The odds are stacked against him. Well over half the population hates his guts and Clinton walks into nov 8 needing only 1 or 2 swing states.

 

[Hovi]

The odds are stacked against him. Well over half the population hates his guts and Clinton walks into nov 8 needing only 1 or 2 swing states.

Can't believe the polls they are controlled by the media. Trump will win and I think people hate Clinton more than they do Trump.

 

[Vylo]

Can't believe the polls they are controlled by the media. Trump will win and I think people hate Clinton more than they do Trump.

You mean the same media that has done more negative reporting on Clinton than any other candidate?

You can believe most of the polls when you average and trend them. And for the most part, they skew republican slightly. Sites like electoral vote are very accurate, and the margin of error doesn't put Trump within shooting distance of the white house.

 

[Goonie]

You mean the same media that has done more negative reporting on Clinton than any other candidate?

You can believe most of the polls when you average and trend them. And for the most part, they skew republican slightly. Sites like electoral vote are very accurate, and the margin of error doesn't put Trump within shooting distance of the white house.

Except the direction of the polling seems to be in Trumps favour. Nationally Trump is either winning, or there is a tie, and in the battleground states the margins between them is shrinking.

 

[Vylo]

Except the direction of the polling seems to be in Trumps favour. Nationally Trump is either winning, or there is a tie, and in the battleground states the margins between them is shrinking.

He seems to be pulling it back a bit closer again. Only down 5.6% nationally. He's still getting creamed in the EC, but that's to be expected with the blue wall looming. The debates should be "hilarious"

 

[Goonie]

He seems to be pulling it back a bit closer again. Only down 5.6% nationally. He's still getting creamed in the EC, but that's to be expected with the blue wall looming. The debates should be "hilarious"

According to real clear politics only 2.4% difference between them nationally, so margin of error.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/

 

[Vylo]

According to real clear politics only 2.4% difference between them nationally, so margin of error.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/

I like huffpost, as they average and trend polls. This means that if the same poll number keep coming in, Trump will continue to gain, but if they are blips, it will only marginally affect the number.

 

[cow451]

Clinton can still lose unless she gets back in the saddle. She cannot bet on Trump being quite as bad as he was in the month or so after the convention. If she does poorly in the debates, the tide could turn. However, Trump is overconfident as to the debates, IMHO.