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Predict the Democratic nominee for President

Discussion in 'American Politics' started by ChristianForCats, Feb 3, 2020.

Who will win the Democratic nomination for President?

Poll closed Jun 3, 2020.
  1. Joe Biden

    15.8%
  2. Bernie Sanders

    36.8%
  3. Elizabeth Warren

    2.6%
  4. Pete Buttigieg

    21.1%
  5. Other

    23.7%
  6. Michael Bloomberg

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. ChristianForCats

    ChristianForCats Bible Reader

    +946
    United States
    Protestant
    Single
    US-Democrat
    Andrew Yang is not even running in NH. He fired his campaign staff after his poor results in IA.
     
  2. mark46

    mark46 Well-Known Member Supporter

    +4,227
    Catholic
    Married
    US-Democrat
    Believe what you want. I watched him speak to CNN with a crowd of supporters behind him with placards. He is currently running at 3% in the polls in Iowa, unchanged in the last week.

    I guess that I will stop responding to obvious misinformation. BTW, here is the rally. It took me less than 30 seconds to find and post it. Please do some checking in the future before posting misinformation.

    Andrew Yang speaks in New Hampshire ahead of primary
     
  3. ChristianForCats

    ChristianForCats Bible Reader

    +946
    United States
    Protestant
    Single
    US-Democrat
    Surprise! Amy Klobuchar took the early lead in New Hampshire with one percent of precincts reporting.
     
  4. bhsmte

    bhsmte Newbie

    +11,618
    Atheist
    Single
    US-Others
    I am confident Warren is done and Biden needs to do well in the next few to have any chance. Watch out for Bloomberg as well.
     
  5. ChristianForCats

    ChristianForCats Bible Reader

    +946
    United States
    Protestant
    Single
    US-Democrat
    Warren has been doing better than Biden since voting started. She never indicated a desire to quit before Super Tuesday or on March 4. I would be surprised if she drops out immediately after losing in SC.
     
  6. bhsmte

    bhsmte Newbie

    +11,618
    Atheist
    Single
    US-Others
    Probably right, but the handwriting is on the wall. If she cant do well in new hampshire, her campaign is in trouble.
     
  7. ChristianForCats

    ChristianForCats Bible Reader

    +946
    United States
    Protestant
    Single
    US-Democrat
    The NH results made no sense. She is right next door in MA and fell behind two candidates who live in the Central time zone.

    My prediction: St. Patrick's Day is too late so I can't vote for her.
     
  8. bhsmte

    bhsmte Newbie

    +11,618
    Atheist
    Single
    US-Others
    The sense it makes is, she has no chance.
     
  9. ChristianForCats

    ChristianForCats Bible Reader

    +946
    United States
    Protestant
    Single
    US-Democrat
    She could "have no chance" and still do very well in a state next to hers.

    You know who else has no chance? Amy Klobuchar.
     
  10. PloverWing

    PloverWing Episcopalian

    +3,462
    United States
    Anglican
    Married
    I was surprised Warren didn't do better in New Hampshire. Super Tuesday includes her home state of Massachusetts, so we'll see how she does March 3. If she can't win her home state, that's a problem. If she does well on Super Tuesday, she could be back in it. I think it would be a mistake for any of the middle-of-the-pack candidates like Warren or Biden to drop out before March 3.

    Also: In the original poll, I picked Biden as most likely to win the nomination. It would be cheating to change my selection now, but for the record, I no longer think he's the likely winner. I am not sad. :)
     
  11. wing2000

    wing2000 E pluribus unum Supporter

    +12,129
    United States
    Christian
    Married
    ...Bernie Sanders win isn't exactly impressive. If one aligns the top 5 NH results by "progressive" (Sanders / Warren) vs the "moderate" candidates (Buttigieg, Klobachar, Biden) , the moderates came out on top - 52 to 35%

    Given Sanders resounding defeat of Clinton in 2016 (60 to 38%), one might have expected him to do even better.
     
  12. bhsmte

    bhsmte Newbie

    +11,618
    Atheist
    Single
    US-Others
    Good point, but this year, sanders has more competition.
     
  13. ChristianForCats

    ChristianForCats Bible Reader

    +946
    United States
    Protestant
    Single
    US-Democrat
    Whether Elizabeth Warren does well on Super Tuesday has nothing to do with her home state. She needs to win bigger states with more delegates. A win in MA would not be news because it is to be expected but even with that the delegate count is small and will not help her after March 3.
    If I had started this thread last year Joe Biden would have gotten my poll vote too. Good thing I put it off long enough to realize he is not even likely to be in the race on Florida's Election Day (March 17). I guess if everyone who voted for Biden changed it to someone else I could delete that choice, but I'm not sure if they would all want to.
     
  14. gaara4158

    gaara4158 Gen Alpha Dad

    +2,446
    United States
    Humanist
    Married
    US-Others
    It’s going to be Bernie. No one else is even worth talking about.
     
  15. Hank77

    Hank77 Well-Known Member Supporter

    +13,849
    United States
    Non-Denom
    Married
    US-Others
  16. cow451

    cow451 The Most Interesting Poster in the Forum Supporter

    +21,604
    United States
    Non-Denom
    Married
    US-Others
  17. ChristianForCats

    ChristianForCats Bible Reader

    +946
    United States
    Protestant
    Single
    US-Democrat
    Nevada is up next on February 22. Unfortunately it is another caucus, but this time there will be no stupid app because the NDP was watching when the IDP struggled.
     
  18. gaara4158

    gaara4158 Gen Alpha Dad

    +2,446
    United States
    Humanist
    Married
    US-Others
    If we’re comparing Sanders to different combinations of other candidates, why not note that he was outspent by 7-to-1 total by all the other candidates and still won the most votes, twice?
     
  19. ChristianForCats

    ChristianForCats Bible Reader

    +946
    United States
    Protestant
    Single
    US-Democrat
    Bernie Sanders believes only grassroots (whatever they are) should donate money to political parties. On his campaign website, there is a chart that shows only Donald Trump has more donations so far. How is a candidate who gets the more donations than any other Democrat being outspent?
     
  20. gaara4158

    gaara4158 Gen Alpha Dad

    +2,446
    United States
    Humanist
    Married
    US-Others
    It’s all in the amounts people are donating. Bernie’s average donor gives $18. Other candidates have billionaire donors giving much more. Some are actual billionaires spending their own money.
     
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