Sometimes we can easily see the winner by looking closely at the early exit poll questions. Other times we can see that it is close, but that one candidate might have a slight edge. Other times we can see no trend at all. Based upon all the questions and poll results thus far, it looks like a slight advantage to Jones, but we cannot be certain, partly because the final exit poll results are not in and also because exit polls are not totally reliable. However, here is what we have thus far:
The exit poll voters view of President Trump was even, a surprise when he won AL by 28 pts last year. Their view of Dem Party is -8, but this is the same for the Rep Party, -8. This is nothing less than shocking in heavily Republican Alabama and would seem to indicate that Dems are showing up at a higher rate than Republicans and that Independents are breaking more for the Dems. However, perhaps the most important indicator is that their view of Jones is 49-49, while Moore is -13 points on the likability question. Finally, as to the question of if they believe the sexual allegations against Judge Moore, 49-45, they do believe the women.
Take what you want from these exit polls, but it looks thus far like a slight advantage to Jones. However, there could be a hidden vote for Moore that is not reflected in the exit poll questions.
Some new exit poll results: White voters - 65%, Black voters - 30%. CNN says the results here for the Black vote is close to what it was in Obama's two races. Party I.D. results has it 43% Republican, 37% Democrat and 20 % Independent.
The exit poll voters view of President Trump was even, a surprise when he won AL by 28 pts last year. Their view of Dem Party is -8, but this is the same for the Rep Party, -8. This is nothing less than shocking in heavily Republican Alabama and would seem to indicate that Dems are showing up at a higher rate than Republicans and that Independents are breaking more for the Dems. However, perhaps the most important indicator is that their view of Jones is 49-49, while Moore is -13 points on the likability question. Finally, as to the question of if they believe the sexual allegations against Judge Moore, 49-45, they do believe the women.
Take what you want from these exit polls, but it looks thus far like a slight advantage to Jones. However, there could be a hidden vote for Moore that is not reflected in the exit poll questions.
Some new exit poll results: White voters - 65%, Black voters - 30%. CNN says the results here for the Black vote is close to what it was in Obama's two races. Party I.D. results has it 43% Republican, 37% Democrat and 20 % Independent.
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