Moody's Analytics show Trump easily winning 2020

Mountainmanbob

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M-Bob

Trump’s economy is booming, and Democrats can’t handle it
In a CNN town hall in February, Bernie Sandersclaimed that 83 percent of the benefits delivered by the 2017 GOP tax cuts went to the 1 percent. CNN “fact-checked” the Vermont senator, reporting, “This isn’t true right now” (the actual news), “but if certain tax cuts are not extended, it will be the case in 2027.” Not surprisingly, CNN’s read on Sanders’ claim reflected the Democrats’ misleading language on the tax cut legislation from Day One.
 
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A_Thinker

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M-Bob
Per the article ...

This model is useful "Barring anything unusual happening," ... like impeachment, and is based upon the economy staying as good as it is now ... and unenthusiastic Democrat turnout ...

"“If the economy a year from now is the same as it is today, or roughly so, then the power of incumbency is strong and Trump’s election odds are very good, particularly if Democrats aren’t enthusiastic and don’t get out to vote,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics and co-author of the paper along with Dan White, the firm’s director of government counsulting and fiscal policy research, and Bernard Yaros, an assistant director and economist. “It’s about turnout.”
 
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Mountainmanbob

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Facts are as follows --
most people vote according to their pocket books -- if Trump's economy holds up --
he's in -- easy win.

A lot of people working out there.
And making good money.
M-Bob
 
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Bobber

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Facts are as follows --
most people vote according to their pocket books -- if Trump's economy holds up --
he's in -- easy win.

A lot of people working out there.
And making good money.
M-Bob
Very true. People vote according to their pocket books. If the truth were known even he extreme left are motivated this way. I think if you asked a great many of Dems what they do for a living you'd probably see the largest number of them as being from the civil servant class who want big government.

Such is why I think banging the drum too much about the wrong doing of Politician A or B who might be Democrats many become bewildered as just why the other side can't see it. Simple reason is they truly do see it however it's all a given to them that they feel all politicians are crooked, so so what? If you're government you're generally going to want the Dems to win.
 
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Yarddog

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M-Bob

Trump’s economy is booming, and Democrats can’t handle it
In a CNN town hall in February, Bernie Sandersclaimed that 83 percent of the benefits delivered by the 2017 GOP tax cuts went to the 1 percent. CNN “fact-checked” the Vermont senator, reporting, “This isn’t true right now” (the actual news), “but if certain tax cuts are not extended, it will be the case in 2027.” Not surprisingly, CNN’s read on Sanders’ claim reflected the Democrats’ misleading language on the tax cut legislation from Day One.
From what I've seen, Trump's greatest threat is Trump.

Colin Powell in 2020!!!
 
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jgarden

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Facts are as follows --
most people vote according to their pocket books -- if Trump's economy holds up --
he's in -- easy win.

A lot of people working out there.
And making good money.
M-Bob
Moody's Analytics show Trump easily winning 2020

Just how does Moody suggest that this President can get elected when 52% of the electorate are already supporting his impeachment and removal from office - before the 2020 Election?

That's the "good news" for Republicans - the "bad news" is that booming economies don't last forever and that after 10 years, this one is already on "borrowed time!"
 
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