Monkeypox--leveling off

tall73

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The CDC's latest advice....

https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/pdf/MPX_Social_Gatherings_Safer_Sex-508.pdf

The first part of the advice certainly makes sense. But it goes down hill from there.

If you or a partner has monkeypox, the best way to protect yourself and others is to not have sex of any kind (oral, anal, vaginal) and not kiss or touch each other’s bodies while you are sick, especially any rash or sores. Do not share things like towels, fetish gear, sex toys, and toothbrushes.

If you or your partner have (or think you might have) monkeypox and you decide to have sex, consider the following to reduce the chance of spreading the virus:

● Have virtual sex with no in-person contact.
● touch together at a distance of at least 6 feet, without touching each other and without touching any
rash or sores.
● Consider having sex with your clothes on or covering areas where rash or sores are present, reducing as much skin-to-skin contact as possible.
● Avoid kissing.
● Remember to wash your hands, fetish gear, sex toys and any fabrics (bedding, towels, clothing) after having sex.

● Limit your number of partners to avoid opportunities for monkeypox to spread

LIMIT your number of partners? Really?

How does the government feel comfortable shutting down the economy and giving stay at home orders for people who don't even have COVID to slow the spread, but doesn't feel comfortable ordering people who think they have active monkeypox to forgo sex with multiple partners until they are over it?
 
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Skye1300

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The CDC's latest advice....

https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/pdf/MPX_Social_Gatherings_Safer_Sex-508.pdf

The first part of the advice certainly makes sense. But it goes down hill from there.

If you or a partner has monkeypox, the best way to protect yourself and others is to not have sex of any kind (oral, anal, vaginal) and not kiss or touch each other’s bodies while you are sick, especially any rash or sores. Do not share things like towels, fetish gear, sex toys, and toothbrushes.

If you or your partner have (or think you might have) monkeypox and you decide to have sex, consider the following to reduce the chance of spreading the virus:

● Have virtual sex with no in-person contact.
● touch together at a distance of at least 6 feet, without touching each other and without touching any
rash or sores.
● Consider having sex with your clothes on or covering areas where rash or sores are present, reducing as much skin-to-skin contact as possible.
● Avoid kissing.
● Remember to wash your hands, fetish gear, sex toys and any fabrics (bedding, towels, clothing) after having sex.

● Limit your number of partners to avoid opportunities for monkeypox to spread

LIMIT your number of partners? Really?

How does the government feel comfortable shutting down the economy and giving stay at home orders for people who don't even have COVID to slow the spread, but doesn't feel comfortable ordering people who think they have active monkeypox to forgo sex with multiple partners until they are over it?

LOL!! Just tell them to stop having sex for the 3 weeks or so till they are over it my goodness! This society is scared to tell people not to have sex.
 
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Jamdoc

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The CDC's latest advice....

https://www.cdc.gov/poxvirus/monkeypox/pdf/MPX_Social_Gatherings_Safer_Sex-508.pdf

The first part of the advice certainly makes sense. But it goes down hill from there.

If you or a partner has monkeypox, the best way to protect yourself and others is to not have sex of any kind (oral, anal, vaginal) and not kiss or touch each other’s bodies while you are sick, especially any rash or sores. Do not share things like towels, fetish gear, sex toys, and toothbrushes.

If you or your partner have (or think you might have) monkeypox and you decide to have sex, consider the following to reduce the chance of spreading the virus:

● Have virtual sex with no in-person contact.
● touch together at a distance of at least 6 feet, without touching each other and without touching any
rash or sores.
● Consider having sex with your clothes on or covering areas where rash or sores are present, reducing as much skin-to-skin contact as possible.
● Avoid kissing.
● Remember to wash your hands, fetish gear, sex toys and any fabrics (bedding, towels, clothing) after having sex.

● Limit your number of partners to avoid opportunities for monkeypox to spread

LIMIT your number of partners? Really?

How does the government feel comfortable shutting down the economy and giving stay at home orders for people who don't even have COVID to slow the spread, but doesn't feel comfortable ordering people who think they have active monkeypox to forgo sex with multiple partners until they are over it?

Because telling homosexual men not to have sex during pride month is unthinkable obviously.
and if you're going to ignore objective morality and sin on your conscience to carry out the abominable act of sodomy? Why be monogamous? Why let a little thing such as a disease that can be spread sexually be any sort of limitation? In fact, doesn't that make it more exciting?

I mean I am being facetious, however there is a small component of the homosexual community called "bug chasers" They are men who actively seek out other men with HIV to have unprotected sex with in order to get "pozzed".

They romanticize the risk, and also feel like it'd help them be a part of a community, those infected with HIV.

I mean this is Romans 1 panning out to the reprobate mind in which they become self destructive and invite others to destroy themselves with them kind of behavior.
Don't expect common sense out of these kinds of people.
 
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Skye1300

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I mean I am being facetious, however there is a small component of the homosexual community called "bug chasers" They are men who actively seek out other men with HIV to have unprotected sex with in order to get "pozzed".

They romanticize the risk, and also feel like it'd help them be a part of a community, those infected with HIV.

I mean this is Romans 1 panning out to the reprobate mind in which they become self destructive and invite others to destroy themselves with them kind of behavior.
Don't expect common sense out of these kinds of people.

OH MY GOODNESS they ARE crazy! :eek:
 
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Jamdoc

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OH MY GOODNESS they ARE crazy! :eek:

When you look at the current US culture through a Romans 1 lens, you see that yes, they are crazy, and utterly self destructive, but it begins to make sense.
Only the bible can make sense of how people are acting in the west in modern times.
 
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tall73

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2022 U.S. Map & Case Count | Monkeypox | Poxvirus | CDC
As of June 17

California 24
New York 21
Illinois 15
Florida 10
Massachusetts 7
Hawaii 5
Colorado 5
District Of Columbia 4
Georgia 3
Washington 2
Utah 2
Texas 2
Pennsylvania 2
Oklahoma 2
Virginia 1
Rhode Island 1
Oregon 1
Ohio 1
Nevada 1
Maryland 1
Arizona 1

Total: 111
 
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tall73

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Confirmed and suspected cases as of 6/18/22

United Kingdom 575
Spain 529
Germany 340
Portugal 276
Canada 200
France 183
United States 113
Netherlands 95
Italy 73
Belgium 62
Switzerland 28
Brazil 14
Ireland 14
Australia 13
United Arab Emirates 13
Ghana 12
Poland 12
Austria 11
Sweden 10
Denmark 8
Slovenia 7
Czechia 6
Israel 6
Uganda 6
Argentina 5
Mexico 5
Finland 3
Hungary 3
Iceland 3
Iran 3
Romania 3
French Guiana 2
Greece 2
Latvia 2
Norway 2
Bahamas 1
Bolivia 1
Cayman Islands 1
Chile 1
Ecuador 1
Georgia 1
Haiti 1
Kosovo 1
Luxembourg 1
Malta 1
Morocco 1
Nepal 1
Pakistan 1
Paraguay 1
Sudan 1
Uruguay 1
Venezuela 1
Lebanon 0
Serbia 0

Total: 2,656

Monkeypox Tracker-OurWorldInData
 
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Skye1300

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Confirmed and suspected cases as of 6/18/22

United Kingdom 575
Spain 529
Germany 340
Portugal 276
Canada 200
France 183
United States 113
Netherlands 95
Italy 73
Belgium 62
Switzerland 28
Brazil 14
Ireland 14
Australia 13
United Arab Emirates 13
Ghana 12
Poland 12
Austria 11
Sweden 10
Denmark 8
Slovenia 7
Czechia 6
Israel 6
Uganda 6
Argentina 5
Mexico 5
Finland 3
Hungary 3
Iceland 3
Iran 3
Romania 3
French Guiana 2
Greece 2
Latvia 2
Norway 2
Bahamas 1
Bolivia 1
Cayman Islands 1
Chile 1
Ecuador 1
Georgia 1
Haiti 1
Kosovo 1
Luxembourg 1
Malta 1
Morocco 1
Nepal 1
Pakistan 1
Paraguay 1
Sudan 1
Uruguay 1
Venezuela 1
Lebanon 0
Serbia 0

Total: 2,656

Monkeypox Tracker-OurWorldInData

Yikes!
 
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tall73

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Confirmed and suspected cases as of 6/21/22

United Kingdom 794
Spain 552
Germany 469
Portugal 304
France 277
Canada 254
United States 142
Netherlands 95
Italy 74
Belgium 62
Switzerland 41
Brazil 15
Ireland 14
Israel 14
Australia 13
United Arab Emirates 13
Denmark 12
Ghana 12
Poland 12
Austria 11
Sweden 10
Mexico 9
Slovenia 7
Argentina 6
Czechia 6
Hungary 6
Uganda 6
Romania 5
Finland 4
Iceland 3
Iran 3
Chile 2
French Guiana 2
Greece 2
Latvia 2
Malta 2
Norway 2
South Korea 2
Bahamas 1
Bolivia 1
Cayman Islands 1
Georgia 1
Haiti 1
Kosovo 1
Lebanon 1
Luxembourg 1
Morocco 1
Pakistan 1
Paraguay 1
Serbia 1
Singapore 1
Sudan 1
Uruguay 1
Venezuela 1

Total: 3275

Monkeypox Tracker-OurWorldInData.org
 
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tall73

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Confirmed and suspected cases as of 6/24/22

United Kingdom 911
Spain 738
Germany 676
Portugal 348
France 330
Canada 279
Netherlands 211
United States 201
Italy 128
Belgium 77
Switzerland 55
Ireland 28
Austria 20
Brazil 20
Ghana 18
Israel 16
Australia 13
Denmark 13
Sweden 13
United Arab Emirates 13
Hungary 12
Poland 12
Mexico 9
Slovenia 8
Argentina 6
Czechia 6
Uganda 6
Romania 5
Finland 4
Malta 4
Norway 4
Chile 3
Colombia 3
Greece 3
Iceland 3
Iran 3
Somalia 3
Bulgaria 2
French Guiana 2
Latvia 2
Bahamas 1
Bolivia 1
Cayman Islands 1
Croatia 1
Fiji 1
Georgia 1
Haiti 1
Lebanon 1
Luxembourg 1
Morocco 1
Pakistan 1
Paraguay 1
Serbia 1
Singapore 1
South Africa 1
South Korea 1
Sudan 1
Taiwan 1
Uruguay 1
Venezuela 1
Zambia 1

Total: 4229


Monkeypox Tracker-OurWorldInData.org
 
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ThatRobGuy

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Obviously, God is smiting the wicked while Satan smites the good.

I have the Boomer advantage of having been vaccinated against smallpox as a tyke.

Monkeypox may be the inverse of what we saw with Covid in terms of the age dynamic.

With covid, it was the older folks that were at much higher risk and younger people were less impacted.

Since the vaccine used for monkey pox is the smallpox vaccine (which was routinely given to everyone up until 1972), the 50+ plus crowd is likely to be less impacted than the people under 50.

Not to mention, the 50+ crowd is also a lot less likely to be engaging in the types of behaviors that would put one at significant risk (in that, they're not going to parties and music festivals and "making out" & "hooking up" with other people they just met a few hours ago) as much as a person in their 20's or early 30's might be.
 
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tall73

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Confirmed and suspected cases as of 6/28/22


United Kingdom 911
Germany 838
Spain 801
France 441
Portugal 373
United States 306
Canada 264
Netherlands 257
Italy 160
Belgium 77
Switzerland 72
Brazil 29
Israel 29
Ireland 28
Austria 20
Ghana 18
Denmark 16
Norway 15
Australia 13
Sweden 13
United Arab Emirates 13
Hungary 12
Poland 12
Mexico 11
Slovenia 8
Argentina 6
Chile 6
Czechia 6
Romania 6
Uganda 6
Finland 4
Malta 4
Benin 3
Bulgaria 3
Colombia 3
Greece 3
Iceland 3
Iran 3
Luxembourg 3
Somalia 3
French Guiana 2
Latvia 2
South Africa 2
Bahamas 1
Bolivia 1
Cayman Islands 1
Croatia 1
Georgia 1
Haiti 1
Lebanon 1
Morocco 1
Pakistan 1
Paraguay 1
Peru 1
Serbia 1
Singapore 1
South Korea 1
Sudan 1
Taiwan 1
Uruguay 1
Venezuela 1
Zambia 1

Total: 4824
 
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CDC issues new guidance on monkeypox symptoms as U.S. cases balloon

The U.S. has reported 72 cases of monkeypox across 18 states in the last month, making it the country's largest monkeypox outbreak ever.

That total has grown significantly since the beginning of June, when just 19 cases were confirmed.

so I'm wondering what the case load will be like after the end of "pride month"

Monkeypox

United States 395

So it went up 376 cases in the month of June in the US.

Though, really we will need another two or so weeks for the cases that were passed on during June to show up. And some of the cases that we saw in June started in May.
 
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tall73

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A lot of info in the 2nd technical briefing from the UK:

Investigation into monkeypox outbreak in England: technical briefing 2

Epidemiological analyses of enhanced surveillance questionnaires suggest that monkeypox continues to be transmitted in defined sexual networks of gay, bisexual, or men who have sex with men (GBMSM), without signals suggesting sustained transmission beyond these networks (transmission level 2).

Nowcasting modelling suggests that the epidemic is still growing, which is consistent with the data on cases by date of report.


Of the 813 cases identified in England up to 22 June 2022, 321 (39.5%) had enhanced surveillance questionnaires. As reported in technical briefing 1, the majority (96.0%) of cases were gay, bisexual, or men who have sex with men (GBMSM) strongly suggesting transmission in defined sexual networks, both internationally and domestically (Table 3). Cases frequently reported history of a sexually transmitted infection (STI) in the last year (54.2%) and 10 or more sexual partners in the last 3 months (31.8%), suggesting monkeypox is being transmitted in interconnected sexual networks that sustain STI transmission.

Questionnaire data shows that cases have established links with sexual health services for the provision of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for HIV (74.2% of those who were HIV negative reported using PrEP, usually daily) or HIV treatment (96.7% of those who were HIV positive reported being on treatment). These existing links with sexual health services will be leveraged to identify GBMSM at highest risk who may benefit from pre-exposure vaccination, as outlined in the vaccination strategy.

Table 3. Selected epidemiological metrics from enhanced surveillance questionnaires in confirmed monkeypox cases in England as of 22 June 2022



Gay, bisexual, or men who have sex with men 308 (96.0%)
Travel abroad prior to symptom onset (21 days) 99 (30.8%)
Age under 30 years 68 (21.2%)
History of STI in the last year 174 (54.2%)
One of fewer sexual partners in last 3 months 46 (14.3%)
10 or more sexual partners in last 3 months 102 (31.8%)
Living with HIV 90 (28.0%)
On HIV treatment (among living with HIV) 87 (96.7%)
Ever used PrEP (among HIV negative) 155 (74.2%)



Data from UKHSA questionnaires show a relatively high number of cases reported travelling to Gran Canaria in early May 2022. Based on these data and international reports, we can therefore infer those individuals who visited Gran Canaria and subsequently contracted monkeypox were likely infected there. That means travel dates to and from Gran Canaria can be used to create an exposure window. Combining this with symptom onset date gives interval censored data on the duration of the incubation period.

We combined the 24 data points obtained through this method with the 9 usable data points on exposure obtained through contact tracing in the UK. This approach gave a sample of 33 individuals, which is more robust than the 9 usable data points obtained through contact tracing alone. After correcting for the interval censoring, right truncation, and epidemic phase bias (Ward and Johnsen, 2021, Overton and Ward, 2021), the mean incubation period was estimated as 9.22 days (90% Credible Interval -CrI: 6.26, 14.8), with the cumulative density function shown in Figure 6.
 
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tall73

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Confirmed and suspected cases as of July 4
Monkeypox

United Kingdom 1236
Spain 1196
Germany 1054
France 499
United States 459
Portugal 402
Canada 294
Netherlands 257
Italy 193
Belgium 117
Switzerland 91
Brazil 56
Israel 42
Ireland 39
Austria 37
Sweden 28
Hungary 19
Denmark 18
Ghana 18
Norway 17
United Arab Emirates 13
Australia 12
Poland 12
Mexico 11
Romania 11
Slovenia 9
Czechia 8
Chile 7
Argentina 6
Uganda 6
Finland 4
Iceland 4
Malta 4
Benin 3
Bulgaria 3
Colombia 3
Greece 3
Iran 3
Luxembourg 3
Peru 3
Somalia 3
Latvia 2
South Africa 2
Bolivia 1
Cayman Islands 1
Croatia 1
Estonia 1
Georgia 1
Haiti 1
Lebanon 1
Morocco 1
Pakistan 1
Puerto Rico 1
Serbia 1
Singapore 1
South Korea 1
Sudan 1
Taiwan 1
Turkey 1
Uruguay 1
Venezuela 1
Zambia 1

Total: 6,226
 
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