Mississippi Brief in Crucial Supreme Court Abortion Case: Overturn Roe and Casey

Fantine

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If the decision takes place before the 2022 election, it will probably have a big effect, one way or the other.

If Roe v. Wade is overturned. there will be a huge feminist turnout against Republicans.

If Roe v. Wade is upheld but limited, there will be a significant but probably lesser turnout from evangelicals and conservatives who wanted more.
 
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RDKirk

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If the decision takes place before the 2022 election, it will probably have a big effect, one way or the other.

If Roe v. Wade is overturned. there will be a huge feminist turnout against Republicans.

If Roe v. Wade is upheld but limited, there will be a significant but probably lesser turnout from evangelicals and conservatives who wanted more.

Let's remember that even a complete overturn of Roe v Wade merely turns the matter back over to the states, where it had been earlier. That would not necessarily mean that a state anti-abortion could not still be overturned at the SCOTUS level on other provisions.

For instance, if Roe v Wade is overturned, there would be some states criminalizing abortion and other states legalizing it. Some of the states intending to criminalize it have already drafted provisions to criminalize state residents even if they traveled to a "legal" state for the procedure. I suspect that kind of provision would not be acceptable even to a conservative SCOTUS, because it presents extremely broad unintended consequences.
 
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