has anyone run a regression analysis and checked for othet salient factors, like the location of international airports?
Think they will go up now that they are lifting restrictions?
The vaccine might have something to do with that.nope, their numbers are decreasing
The vaccine might have something to do with that.
Tracking COVID-19 vaccine distribution by state: How many people have been vaccinated in the US?Could be
NY has the most vaccines if I am not mistaken, they are not doing as well
My gut feeling is that the biggest contributors are weather and how much people get together, with a small contribution from masks, and growing but countervailing contributions from variants and vaccines.
But the reason I wouldn’t have changed policy in Texas yet is shown by the comparison between Texas snd NJ posted above. Texas consistently shows the same patterns as NJ, but delayed. I’d be worried that that will prove true for the new wave as well. However they may get lucky this time, because of warm weather and vaccinations.
This has proven to be untrue over and over again all over the world in this pandemic.
Maybe two months, when a combination of vaccination and summer take effect.Just curious; when would you change policy?
How do you account for the drop just after the medical mask mandate?Yes, it has.
In yet another example, Germany not only has a mask mandate, but a medical mask mandate. They have worse infection numbers now than when the medical grade mask mandate was implemented.
How long do we have to pretend that masks "work" in the face of empirical evidence that clearly shows they do not?
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Summer and vaccines. Look at the front page of covidactnow. U.S. COVID Risk & Vaccine Tracker You’ll see that it’s geographic, though Texas is a bit higher than the section they are in, and they have a high rate of the b117 variant. Cases, Data, and Surveillance their numbers are starting to turn up, though it’s too soon to know where it’s really going. U.S. COVID Risk & Vaccine Tracker Those are danger signs, but they could be lucky.How do you account for the drop just after the medical mask mandate?
Well, if you look at the curve, it was already dropping pretty rapidly prior to the medical mask mandate being implemented.How do you account for the drop just after the medical mask mandate?
Fatigue and noncompliance.Well, if you look at the curve, it was already dropping pretty rapidly prior to the medical mask mandate being implemented.
How do you account for the spike after the medical mask mandate?
Any evidence that Germans are not complying with the mandate? The last available data from early January suggests that 89.5% of Germans report wearing masks almost always or frequently. Many places in Germany impose fines for not wearing a mask.Fatigue and noncompliance.
I cannot find data for February 21. How do you account for the decline and then increase? You had said the curve was already dropping rapidly. Why was it dropping? hedrick says seasonality. Possibly so.Any evidence that Germans are not complying with the mandate? The last available data from early January suggests that 89.5% of Germans report wearing masks almost always or frequently. Many places in Germany impose fines for not wearing a mask.
Masks in Europe 2020 | Statista
So is there any evidence that the nearly 90% mask compliance in Germany has lessened?