Legend Resurfaces in Italian Village Still Free of Coronavirus

Johnboy60

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As the coronavirus pandemic ravages Italy, the village of Montaldo Torinese has so far escaped unscathed. Though it's just 11 miles from Turin—which had 3,658 confirmed cases of COVID-19 as of Saturday—in the country's northern Piedmont region, none of its residents had as of the weekend contracted the virus that causes the disease. However, the mayor says "miracle water" is not, as has been speculated, the reason for the village's protection. As legend has it, the water from the village well helped cure Napoleon's troops in 1800 and they went on to win a battle against Austrian forces. But there's one problem with the idea that the water might still be performing miracles today.

Legend Resurfaces in Italian Village Still Free of Coronavirus
 

Douger

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Let's do a little math. Per the article, Torino, with a population of 875,698 has 3658 confirmed cases or a 0.40% infection rate. Now it's likely that only 1 in 10 infections are actually being diagnosed, so we'll say the infection rate is 4%.
If Montaldo Torinese (the town in the article) also had a 4% infection rate, that would come to 29 people infected. We've seen from studies where small populations recieved extensive testing, that approx. 50% of those with a positive diagnosis are asymptomatic, so that leaves perhaps 15 people who would suffer some symptoms, but so long as the symptoms are mild and nobody needs to go to the hospital, chances are nobody would notice that there were Covid-19 cases in the town, especially since everyone's taking precautions and those who are infected are staying home and recovering without spreading their illness to anyone else.
All that to say that it's perfectly reasonable and likely that even in a part of the world with a high Covid-19 infection rate, your average small town wouldnt' even have any notable cases. There's no need for an extraordinary cause, it's just the most likely outcome mathematically.
 
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Jonathan Walkerin

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As the coronavirus pandemic ravages Italy, the village of Montaldo Torinese has so far escaped unscathed. Though it's just 11 miles from Turin—which had 3,658 confirmed cases of COVID-19 as of Saturday—in the country's northern Piedmont region, none of its residents had as of the weekend contracted the virus that causes the disease. However, the mayor says "miracle water" is not, as has been speculated, the reason for the village's protection. As legend has it, the water from the village well helped cure Napoleon's troops in 1800 and they went on to win a battle against Austrian forces. But there's one problem with the idea that the water might still be performing miracles today.

Legend Resurfaces in Italian Village Still Free of Coronavirus

So even the Mayor says it is not the water from the well which is solely used for irrigation these days.

What was the point of this article again ?
 
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