CAGW Has Become Errant Science

Heissonear

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The science promoting Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming is full of hypothetical daydreaming.

In 2017 there is no Catastrophic Global Warming to be observed.

The science we see by observations are the swings in natural climate processes: interconnections and interactions of the Arctic Oscillation (AO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Pacific Multidecadal Oscillation (PMO), the shift from Grand Solar Maximun towards Minimum, the shift southwards of the Polar Vortex over Northern Hemisphere, the shifting southward of the Intertropical Convergence Equatorial Zone (ITCZ), even with Northern Hemisphere cold fronts passing through the ITCZ, and the list goes on.

The "Pause" has been the observable transition of natural climatic swings towards decades to come Earth Cooling (opposite to Eco-Extremism claims of radical warming).

As cooling increases repeated El Nino's will occur, one of the many Earth processes bringing Climate Change.

What amount of CAGW proposed "Back Radiation Warming" to Earth' near surface by Anthropogenic Oxidized Carbon is showing to be buried in measurement accuracy noise.

2016 to 2017 CO2 monitoring by NASA's new OCO-2 satellite has showed CO2 to be non-uniformly mixed in Earth's atmosphere.

Most CO2 can be observed as gradient cloud-like accumulations staying well below 20'000 feet in Earth's troposhere - and observable as part of larger adiabatic air-mass thermal convection vertical cooling, heat transport processes.

Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming is by the year showing its Fundamental Scientific Error by errant Scientists and Politicians.

Catastrophic nothing is happening to Earth's natural climate. The larger incorporation of Holocene Evidence does not support the narrow time minded aCO2 predictions and claims, but rather continuation of Earth's temperature history and swings.

But some who hold dearly to unscientific and unsupported CAGW charts, modeling, and predictions are in attack mode. CAGW propaganda has unfortuately become their religious doctrine. Alarmism and Eco-Extremism is observable in their actions, reactions and statements.

CAGW has become errant science: a non-observable string of alarming predictions. Even as Earth Cooling has been observable through natural processes. How much cooling is still to be determined. Climate is continuing to Change like it always has in Earth's history.

Those who proposed aCO2 would dramatically change things are errantly wrong, and have caused confusion, misinformation, with foolish and harming recommendations of changing carbon-based energy sources.

The Sun and Oceans are the primary controllers of Earth's temperature fluxes over time, including observations from what Holocene natural history concludes.
 

Heissonear

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Heissonear

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CAGW has produced a multitude of claims that are without rigorous scientific verification.

This includes the devious act of promoting "sophisticated climate models output" as scientific evidence.

This includes the spreading of misinformation when stating that aCO2 has caused most if not all of the "Global Warming" since the start of the industrial revolution.

Voiding of the Null Hypothesis occurred when Errant Scientists and Politicians stated natural climatic processes no longer controls Earth's temperature swings.

Thus Errant Scientists and Politicians have created CO2-Centric Climatology. A grand display of human folly.

Again, the Sun and Oceans control Earth's weather and climate over time.
 
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Heissonear

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Unsupported CO2-centric claims continue to stream in. Such has become propaganda of CO2-based Alarmism.

10-foot-sea-level-rise-hype.jpg

For these contributors, they no longer descern hype from reality, through Errant Science they succumbed to. They now generate misinformation.
 
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Heissonear

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Anthropogenic generated CO2 is not uniformly mixed in Earth's Troposhere.

Instead, aCO2 (anthopogenic CO2) resides in large temperature and pressure differentiated air masses, air masses that are naturally formed and part of normal weather air masses that repetitively occur.

The new satellite imagery collected from NASA's OCO-2 CO2 measurement satellite shows CO2 molecules act like water molecules, and are subject to vertical convection cells, which are the largest physical process for removing heat from Earth's surface, and transporting such heat convectively vertically in cloud masses to release such heat in the mid to upper portions of the Troposhere.

NASA was silent on the data collected by the OCOz2 satalite tge first 6 months of its data collection, upon which the first CO2 images released showed extreme geographical variations of CO2 molecules, just like water molecules (humidity on Earth).

This past week has been the second release of CO2 imagery data, and shows 3-D distribution of CO2, this release after about 2 years of collecting data. The data shows distribution again like water molecules (humidity) in air masses flowing and interacting in natural weather events.

So CO2 molecules have been first hand observed to show non-uniform mixing in Earth's atmosphere, and to be like Earth's most powerful Greenhouse Gas (water molecules - humidity) and not uniformly gradient in concentration upwards within the Troposphere.

This finding exposes errant hypothetical science claimsed in the past by Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming proponents, that Anthropogenic CO2 will increase CO2 concentrations in the Tropopause, and alter the attitude CO2 re-radiation of outbound Infrared (heat) Radiation in the ~15 micron wavelength range. A major blow to the claimed science mechanism whereby increases in atmospheric CO2 will trap heat (hinder outbound Infrared Radiation mechanism).

Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming is based on errant science; scientific claims that are false.

The below imagery from NASA and it's OCO-2 satellite measurements speaks volumes of how CO2 is just like humidity in Earths Troposhere, and thermal release convection cell cycles control heat transport from and away from Earth's surface. Back Radiation is unchanged in how CO2 has physically acted in Earth's past.

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Obliquinaut

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Dirk1540

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I'm just asking it wasn't an attempt at humor, watched Inconvenient Truth a very long time ago and I remember he had that hockey stick graph that was supposed to scare us all to death. As I recall the hockey stick prediction was imminent.

I'm not a science guy it was just a question, when did Al Gore claim that Florida should be under water by?
 
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pitabread

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One thing I don't think I've ever seen AGW-deniers explain is the pace of global warming. Nobody denies that the Earth goes through warming and cooling cycles. But it's the pace of global warming post-Industrial Age that is alarming.

As the Earth moved out of ice ages over the past million years, the global temperature rose a total of 4 to 7 degrees Celsius over about 5,000 years. In the past century alone, the temperature has climbed 0.7 degrees Celsius, roughly ten times faster than the average rate of ice-age-recovery warming.

proxy-based_temperature_reconstruction.png


https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/GlobalWarming/page3.php

Also:

According to Nasa, in 2016 the Earth’s surface temperature shattered the previous record for hottest year by 0.12°C. That record was set in 2015, which broke the previous record by 0.13°C. That record had been set in 2014, beating out 2010, which in turn had broken the previous record set in 2005.

If you think that seems like a lot of record-breaking hot years, you’re right. The streak of three consecutive record hot years is unprecedented since measurements began in 1880. In the 35 years between 1945 and 1979, there were no record-breakers. In the 37 years since 1980, there have been 12.

We’re now breaking global temperature records once every three years | Dana Nuccitelli
 
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Gene2memE

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Gore's statement in An Inconvenient Truth was that sea levels could rise by 20 feet “in the near future.”

So, there's no definite time period attached to that.

Current trends (last decade) are that sea level around Florida is rising at 3 mm per year (+/- 0.5mm), The sea level in South Florida has risen about 6 to 7 cm (about 2.4-2.8 inches) in the last 30 years.

The rate in the last century was a little slower - about 2.3 mm per year. Based on observed data, the sea level in South Florida has risen a little under 23 cm (about 9 inches) over the last century.

What's alarming is that the annual rate of rising is increasing. So, while sea level rise is still very slow, it's likely to get faster and faster as warming continues.

Al Gore's statements around 2007-2008 were predicated on a worst case scenario of accelerating ice melt and rapid ocean warming. This is a scenario that is only likely to happen if we see 5 degrees or more of warming.

More moderate scenarios, with 2 to 3 degrees of warming, project much lower sea level rises, more like three to six feet. This is not DISASTROUS like a 20 foot rise, but it's still not good.

20 ft is not likely, but not completely out of the realm of possibility.
 
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Dirk1540

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Gore's statement in An Inconvenient Truth was that sea levels could rise by 20 feet “in the near future.”

So, there's no definite time period attached to that.

Current trends (last decade) are that sea level around Florida is rising at 3 mm per year (+/- 0.5mm), The sea level in South Florida has risen about 6 to 7 cm (about 2.4-2.8 inches) in the last 30 years.

The rate in the last century was a little slower - about 2.3 mm per year. Based on observed data, the sea level in South Florida has risen a little under 23 cm (about 9 inches) over the last century.

What's alarming is that the annual rate of rising is increasing. So, while sea level rise is still very slow, it's likely to get faster and faster as warming continues.

Al Gore's statements around 2007-2008 were predicated on a worst case scenario of accelerating ice melt and rapid ocean warming. This is a scenario that is only likely to happen if we see 5 degrees or more of warming.

More moderate scenarios, with 2 to 3 degrees of warming, project much lower sea level rises, more like three to six feet. This is not DISASTROUS like a 20 foot rise, but it's still not good.

20 ft is not likely, but not completely out of the realm of possibility.

Ahh ok 'In the near future' gotcha, thanks. You saved me from watching it again, i was gonna watch it again just to kill my curiosity lol.
 
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Heissonear

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Unfortunately Climate Scientists have hijacked science where claims have become the bases, not observation. Future claims by the boat load.

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Inadequate data to base boat load of graphs and scary claims has yet hit the spotlight for all to see.
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Climate Science has become a joke, conjecture of catastrophic events. Based on tortured data.

But cooling decades are now upon us. The natural processes and cycles have shifted to cooling times ahead. How much is still to be seen. Those keeping their eye on Mother Nature are witnessing the regime change process from warming to cooling. Not had to see.

The errant science CAGW is built on was hyping natural variability, not CO2-centric daydreaming, as if anthropogenic CO2 had become the control knob to Earths temperature and climate.

The day of daydreaming up CO2-centric claims has had its time. Junk CAGW science lays all around us.

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The oceans and the sun are the controllers. And both are in regime change. The many facets of their change to weather and climate cooling are obvious.

Just one of many items tossed under the bus by CO2-extremists has been the obvious solar link.

The correlation that aligns to the temperature record since 1800's.

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Solar Maximum is behind us, and the regime change off Solar Minimum is ongoing. Some have taken their eye off Mother Nature and have looked at wayward voices and claims of errant men.

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eclipsenow

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CAGW has produced a multitude of claims that are without rigorous scientific verification.
Wrong! They've tested all the models by running them backwards to see how they predict climate for the 1940's etc.

This includes the devious act of promoting "sophisticated climate models output" as scientific evidence.
Wrong! It's devious to just keep saying DEVIOUS and to just keep trolling these forums and just keep ASSERTING the deviousness, without actually ONCE linking to anything devious!

Dude, there's the laws of physics. They feed these into the models. They run the models and test them over time against how the climate behaves. The models are based on the laws of physics. Which bit of that don't you like? There's nothing 'devious' about it.

All of this paranoia and mistrust of climate science has been analysed by Naomi Oreskes time and again. It's the same, boring old fear that "Them thar Communists are coming to take over our guv-ern-maynt with this global warming ballyhoo." The problem with that paranoia?

The cheapest, most reliable electricity in America comes from STATE OWNED GRIDS AND UTILITIES! Free book here, recommended by Dr James Hansen. https://goo.gl/2YS1On

In other words, you can have reliable stable nuclear power that fixes climate change AND saves tens of thousands of American lives from death by coal asphyxiation, or you can have Enron. Seriously, to be pro-coal is to be pro-death, and is downright unpatriotic!

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eclipsenow

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If current trends continue, this year will be the warmest year on record in Britain. Climate change deniers will still be at it when half of Florida is under water.

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eclipsenow

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