Another place where your argument seemed to be lacking.
John starts off his ministry saying that the Messiah is coming -- taking names and kicking people ... but later when in prison and realizing Christ is not coming in to rescue him - he sends his disciples to Christ "are you the messiah or do we seek another" - Jesus was rejected by the Jews rather than embraced by them.
God would not deliver the Jews from the Romans while still in rebellion. John's entire ministry was to "prepare the way for the LORD" - to get the nation of Israel to accept their Messiah... That did not happen, the Jews were not freed... and Jesus leaves them in Matt 23 with the "curse of Solomon" saying "behold your house is left to you desolate".
If one is just looking at freedom from Roman oppressors to be accomplished - it was a fail. If one is looking for the great revival and return of Israel to the Messiah - that did not happen. Their time of probation (as a nation) ended when the 490 year timeline completed in 34 A.D.
Hi John the Baptist was totally aware of the prophecy in Luke one and did not understand them incorrectly. What John was inspired by the Holy Spirit to preach was Jesus was the lamb of God come to take away the sin of the world. Yet Zacharias John's dad filled with the Holy Spirit declared Jesus would deliver Israel from their enemies and from the time of that deliverance they would be now holy and secure. This affirms all prophecy the covenants, promises and oaths that I have begun to share those passages. Now the error of John was not believing these things would come to pass but not knowing the when. Jesus 1st mission was to bring in the new covenant for the forgiveness of sins. Which Jesus declared and performed and after he rose he told the two disciples on the road from the scriptures all the verses that show how the Christ would die and be raised.
So the 2nd coming in the 70th week and all the prophecies promises covenants and oaths will be fulfilled in great detail. The new covenant in Jer 31 is tied to chapter 30 the day of Jacob' trouble and again it is a latter day prophecy and like Hosea mentions the return of David too and it is connected to chapter 31 .
This is amazing if you are willing to take a bit and read chapter 30 and 31 and meditate on it and do an inductive study.
‘Behold, I will bring back the captivity of Jacob’s tents,
And have mercy on his dwelling places;
The city shall be built upon its own mound,
And the palace shall remain according to its own plan.
19 Then out of them shall proceed thanksgiving
And the voice of those who make merry;
I will multiply them, and they shall not diminish;
I will also glorify them, and they shall not be small.
20 Their children also shall be as before,
And their congregation shall be established before Me;
And I will punish all who oppress them.
21 Their nobles shall be from among them,
And their governor shall come from their midst;
Then I will cause him to draw near,
And he shall approach Me;
For who
is this who pledged his heart to approach Me?’ says the LORD.
22 ‘You shall be My people,
And I will be your God.’ ”
23 Behold, the whirlwind of the LORD
Goes forth with fury,
A continuing whirlwind;
It will fall violently on the head of the wicked.
24 The fierce anger of the LORD will not return until He has done it,
And until He has performed the intents of His heart.
In the latter days you will consider it.
“At the same time,” says the LORD, “I will be the God of all the families of Israel, and they shall be My people.”
2 Thus says the LORD:
“The people who survived the sword
Found grace in the wilderness—
Israel, when I went to give him rest.”
3 The LORD has appeared of old to me,
saying:
“Yes, I have loved you with an everlasting love;
Therefore with lovingkindness I have drawn you.
4 Again I will build you, and you shall be rebuilt,
O virgin of Israel!
You shall again be adorned with your tambourines,
And shall go forth in the dances of those who rejoice.
5 You shall yet plant vines on the mountains of Samaria;
The planters shall plant and eat
them as ordinary food.
6 For there shall be a day
When the watchmen will cry on Mount Ephraim,
‘Arise, and let us go up
to Zion,
To the LORD our God.’ ”
7 For thus says the LORD:
“Sing with gladness for Jacob,
And shout among the chief of the nations;
Proclaim, give praise, and say,
‘O LORD, save Your people,
The remnant of Israel!’
8 Behold, I will bring them from the north country,
And gather them from the ends of the earth,
Among them the blind and the lame,
The woman with child
And the one who labors with child, together;
A great throng shall return there.
9 They shall come with weeping,
And with supplications I will lead them.
I will cause them to walk by the rivers of waters,
In a straight way in which they shall not stumble;
For I am a Father to Israel,
And Ephraim
is My firstborn.
10 “Hear the word of the LORD, O nations,
And declare
it in the isles afar off, and say,
‘He who scattered Israel will gather him,
And keep him as a shepherd
does his flock.’
11 For the LORD has redeemed Jacob,
And ransomed him from the hand of one stronger than he.
12 Therefore they shall come and sing in the height of Zion,
Streaming to the goodness of the LORD—
For wheat and new wine and oil,
For the young of the flock and the herd;
Their souls shall be like a well-watered garden,
And they shall sorrow no more at all.
38 “Behold, the days are coming, says the LORD, that the city shall be built for the LORD from the Tower of Hananel to the Corner Gate. 39 The surveyor’s line shall again extend straight forward over the hill Gareb; then it shall turn toward Goath. 40 And the whole valley of the dead bodies and of the ashes, and all the fields as far as the Brook Kidron, to the corner of the Horse Gate toward the east,
shall be holy to the LORD. It shall not be plucked up or thrown down anymore forever.”