Another Diplomatic Crisis - are we positioning for war?

hislegacy

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Putting up their fair share... some countries, yes; many, no.

If we are going to have a discussion on a topic - you really need to offer more than 10 words. If not, I can only assume you are merely voicing your opinion and not some type of established fact.

Thanks
 
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Gene2memE

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NATO, like most world organizations, is useless when it comes to really putting-up, weren't you paying attention when Trump pointed all that out and at least made many pay a fair share. Biden has probably refunded it all though.

You don't understand how NATO operates, or how it is 'funded', do you?
 
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inquiring mind

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If we are going to have a discussion on a topic - you really need to offer more than 10 words. If not, I can only assume you are merely voicing your opinion and not some type of established fact.

Thanks
Yep, it's my opinion and it doesn't require a lot of words. Prove me wrong with as many as you like... I'm all ears.
 
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hislegacy

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Yep, it's my opinion and it doesn't require a lot of words. Prove me wrong with as many as you like... I'm all ears.

You offer me opinions and you are requiring proof to prove your opinion wrong?

Typically a waste of time - but if you will agree to have an open discussion on both sides, with more than opinions I will be happy to engage.

You start:
 
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inquiring mind

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You don't understand how NATO operates, or how it is 'funded', do you?
Maybe you'll believe Barack:
"Trump isn’t the first US president to push for higher defense spending by other NATO members. In 2014, at a NATO summit in Wales, President Barack Obama pushed for more spending by members who were falling short of the 2% target. The summit ended with a group pledge to move toward the target within a decade."
CNN Politics
 
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You offer me opinions and you are requiring proof to prove your opinion wrong?

Typically a waste of time - but if you will agree to have an open discussion on both sides, with more than opinions I will be happy to engage.

You start:
Telling me I'm wasting your time is not a good way to start... but honestly, I feel the same way.
 
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Gene2memE

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NATO isn't 'funded' at all, apart from a small direct contribution to civil and military supporting infrastructure.

In 2006 NATO members signed a commitment (non-binding, 'cause international law) to move towards their national defense budgets to a target 2% of GDP by 2012, and at least 20% of defense spending to be dedicated towards equipment.

That commitment was mostly ignored, with EU states and Canada shrinking defense budgets through the 2000s, while America went on a 'lets throw a couple of wars' spending binge.

In 2014, NATO members recommitted to the 2% target and then actually increased their defense spending. Excluding the US, NATO member defense spending went up 1.9% in 2015, 2.9% in 2016, 5.8% in 2017 and 4.2% in 2018, 3.7% in 2019 and 3.1% in 2020. Collective, Canada and EU defense budgets have climbed from ~250 billion in 2014 to ~330 billion in 2021.

As of 2020, 10 of the 22 NATO member states were meeting the 2% goal. Of those that aren't currently meeting that goal, another four are expected to reach that level by 2024. 18 of them hit the 20% equipment spending goal.

Here's another way of looking at it:

US defense spending (measured in static 2015 dollars) has increased 9.9% between 2014 and 2020. That makes its defense budget the slowest growing of any NATO member over the period. The next slowest growing is the UK, at 12.6%, then France, at 16.0%.

The US and France are the only NATO member states with lower defense spending (as a % of GDP) in 2020 than in 2014.
 
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NATO isn't 'funded' at all, apart from a small direct contribution to civil and military supporting infrastructure.

In 2006 NATO members signed a commitment (non-binding, 'cause international law) to move towards their national defense budgets to a target 2% of GDP by 2012, and at least 20% of defense spending to be dedicated towards equipment.

That commitment was mostly ignored, with EU states and Canada shrinking defense budgets through the 2000s, while America went on a 'lets throw a couple of wars' spending binge.

In 2014, NATO members recommitted to the 2% target and then actually increased their defense spending. Excluding the US, NATO member defense spending went up 1.9% in 2015, 2.9% in 2016, 5.8% in 2017 and 4.2% in 2018, 3.7% in 2019 and 3.1% in 2020. Collective, Canada and EU defense budgets have climbed from ~250 billion in 2014 to ~330 billion in 2021.

As of 2020, 10 of the 22 NATO member states were meeting the 2% goal. Of those that aren't currently meeting that goal, another four are expected to reach that level by 2024. 18 of them hit the 20% equipment spending goal.

Here's another way of looking at it:

US defense spending (measured in static 2015 dollars) has increased 9.9% between 2014 and 2020. That makes its defense budget the slowest growing of any NATO member over the period. The next slowest growing is the UK, at 12.6%, then France, at 16.0%.

The US and France are the only NATO member states with lower defense spending (as a % of GDP) in 2020 than in 2014.
When most speak of funding they're talking about a country's ability to contribute militarily to NATO when needed. If they can only bring a wheelbarrow for support, well... they're underfunding.
 
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wing2000

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Putin didn't push Trump, neither did China, N. Korea or Iran.

...or so you want to believe.

But hey, maybe we should ask the Taliban to give our arms back. That will certainly impress Putin.
 
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Belk

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Putin didn't push Trump, neither did China, N. Korea or Iran.
705.gif
 
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Ana the Ist

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https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/01/ukr...gM9Q7z5uusyjvefD1EfOIoikFOUQHoixnkJaq_4_2CzMI

Relations between the U.S. and Russia, which are already tense, took another turn for the worse Wednesday after Russia said it was ordering U.S. Embassy staff who have been in Moscow for more than three years to fly home by the end of January.

It said it had resorted to “retaliatory measures” after the Russian ambassador to the United States, Anatoly Antonov, said 27 Russian diplomats and their families would have to leave the U.S. on Jan. 30, and another 27 diplomats would need to depart by June, because their visas have not been extended by the American authorities.
Sending the most seasoned diplomats home from both countries is not a smart move.

To say these nations are playing dirty is putting it mildly. Russia and China are real problems.

That's not to say that the US doesn't play dirty either. We destabilize governments and impose our will in lots of visible and less visible ways.

Russia and China have ended up in very similar places despite somewhat odd paths. To describe them as authoritarian states is mild. These are basically fascist states. If you drop the need for ethnic cleansing or racial cleansing...they pretty much fit the mold. You have cults of personality around a central figure (Putin, Mao). You have a symbiosis of capitalism that is only restricted by the ultimate authority of the state which can bend industry to its own ends. You have state controlled media and propaganda. You have a deep push towards a nationalistic- militaristic culture.

The result is two nations that have grown into large wealthy centrally controlled international actors with dangerous militaries and the ability to force companies into compliance with state ends. They are simply smart enough to do it without destroying those industries.

They may have socialist/communist roots...but they resulted in totalitarian fascist states with fake elections and they've more successfully hidden the oppression of the population.

They know what the game is and how it's played. Their big advantage is their ability to use private citizens as state actors. This is largely evident in Chinese hackers stealing military and business data from us....while Russian hackers steal money from our companies and spread disinformation campaigns.

I'd like to say there's an easy answer here...there isn't. Our best and brightest go to the companies under attack and we don't really compel them to do anything. No one here would tolerate the sort of fascist tactics that they openly employ....nearly half the country is more comfortable with riots and looting than police using tear gas. Their cultures are solidifying into strong national identities....ours is currently fracturing for pretty stupid reasons.

I don't think most people in the US understand the ground we are losing here by sticking to a post WW2 military model that is increasingly less relevant and the imbalance by their ability to direct their companies to state interests and our inability to do so.

This will be a back and forth for awhile....I think the result will be that nations will fear Russian and Chinese economic sanctions more than US diplomatic efforts/sanctions.

I guess if it were my choice...I'd be exploring ways to destabilize and ultimately devastate these nations economically and culturally....to the end of breaking the centralization of power. Their strength is also their weakness. Once the hold is broken, the centralization destabilizes, and a power struggle ensues to see who fills the vacuum.

That slows them down if not stops them for awhile.
 
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Ana the Ist

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NATO isn't 'funded' at all, apart from a small direct contribution to civil and military supporting infrastructure.

In 2006 NATO members signed a commitment (non-binding, 'cause international law) to move towards their national defense budgets to a target 2% of GDP by 2012, and at least 20% of defense spending to be dedicated towards equipment.

That commitment was mostly ignored, with EU states and Canada shrinking defense budgets through the 2000s, while America went on a 'lets throw a couple of wars' spending binge.

In 2014, NATO members recommitted to the 2% target and then actually increased their defense spending. Excluding the US, NATO member defense spending went up 1.9% in 2015, 2.9% in 2016, 5.8% in 2017 and 4.2% in 2018, 3.7% in 2019 and 3.1% in 2020. Collective, Canada and EU defense budgets have climbed from ~250 billion in 2014 to ~330 billion in 2021.

As of 2020, 10 of the 22 NATO member states were meeting the 2% goal. Of those that aren't currently meeting that goal, another four are expected to reach that level by 2024. 18 of them hit the 20% equipment spending goal.

Here's another way of looking at it:

US defense spending (measured in static 2015 dollars) has increased 9.9% between 2014 and 2020. That makes its defense budget the slowest growing of any NATO member over the period. The next slowest growing is the UK, at 12.6%, then France, at 16.0%.

The US and France are the only NATO member states with lower defense spending (as a % of GDP) in 2020 than in 2014.

I think you're looking at NATO the wrong way.

It's a pretty ambitious and largely failed experiment born out of the idea of western civilization loosely allying to preserve mutual interests based on similar state values and principles of freedom, democracy, personal rights, etc.

It's not going to hold if China and Russia start eating our lunches economically...and they can start breaking it apart by better dealing and intimidating our weakest members.

Do you really think we'd currently go to war with Russia or China if they threatened, coerced, or intimidated Estonia, Slovenia, or Turkey? Forget it. They'll break apart NATO at their own pace. China is in the middle of an ethnic cleansing but you don't see us severing ties with them. They ate up Hong Kong and they're going to have Taiwan for desert. They're buying up anything left of value in anywhere in poor Africa. They aren't taking in any of the flooding millions of people fleeing ecological disasters and poverty. Russia is basically telling people how and where energy resources are going and if you don't like it...they'll find a way.

Western civilization is in real trouble in the next 50 years. It doesn't really matter if anyone agrees with their methods when those methods succeed.
 
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