Are Democrats making a strategic blunder by bashing Manchin and Sinema?

ThatRobGuy

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They may have said they support those things, until there is a vote on any given issue we don’t know. And what we’ve seen is that both of them have changed their positions on issues and it doesn’t appear the changes are to appease constituents, but rather their corporate backers.

I mostly agree with you about the risk to Manchin’s seat, but the Dems should be able to keep a Democrat in Sinema’s seat. Arizona will only get more blue and her constituents are not happy with her because she’s moved to the right, not the other way around.

But neither is up for re-election until ‘24. People have short political memories.

Which issues in particular?

Sinema gets the following scores from various advocacy organizations according to GovTrack based on her voting record.

upload_2021-10-9_18-42-52.png


She gets a 13% from "The Club for Growth" which is a conservative economic think tank. (indicating a more liberal position on her part)

The other ones she receives decent scores on, especially on gay rights, women's rights, environmental causes, and marijuana reform.
 
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mark46

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Sounds like you're saying that the Republicans are supposed to just go along with the democrats' entire wish list.
What should happen is that AOC and all the others on the extreme left should demand, and scream, and whatever else they do to stand firm as they are currently doing. That way, nothing will get passed, and the country can save 4.7 trillion dollars, at least for awhile.

I made no mention of Republicans. Nothing I mentioned involves Republican votes.
 
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Aldebaran

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I made no mention of Republicans. Nothing I mentioned involves Republican votes.

Then who would be affected by:
3) A bill to change the filibuster rule needs to passed to exclude voting legislation, the budget and the debt ceiling.

The democrats aren't in danger of filibustering themselves, are they?
 
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Vylo

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"Play ball" in this case means to fall in line and do what the dems want. Just as "unity" means basically the same thing. Definately not a good option.
You mean the things Manchin and Sinema supposedly want as well. It is almost like they are talking out both sides of their mouths.
 
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Arcangl86

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Yes. The Arizona progressive's need to do a reality check as you highlighted. A liberal democrat will not win in the general election. She won by winning over Independents (a third of AZ voters) and McCain Republicans who could not support Trump's candidate.

I think Sen Sinema is an easy target as she refuses to participate in the the daily (hourly?) "political crisis" drama created by the press at large. She rarely does interviews and values building trust with those across the aisle.
But Mark Kelly, who was elected in the same election as here, is further to the left then she is.
 
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Sparagmos

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Which issues in particular?

Sinema gets the following scores from various advocacy organizations according to GovTrack based on her voting record.

View attachment 306994

She gets a 13% from "The Club for Growth" which is a conservative economic think tank. (indicating a more liberal position on her part)

The other ones she receives decent scores on, especially on gay rights, women's rights, environmental causes, and marijuana reform.

Healthcare (most recently prescription drug pricing) and min wage.

I have friends who used to campaign for her and say she no longer supports the platform she used to. They say she’s been bought out by big pharma and others. The bottom line is that the people who voted for her support the infrastructure bill, drug pricing reform, etc.

I don’t look to any of the orgs you listed to decide how to vote. Especially not the Chamber of Commerce. Not that they aren’t relevant to a lot of folks, I get why you posted those stats.
 
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wing2000

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But Mark Kelly, who was elected in the same election as here, is further to the left then she is.

I don't think Mark Kelly has been in office long enough to make that assessment. He may not be as independent as Sinema is, but I think that is partially due to his junior status.
 
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Arcangl86

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I don't think Mark Kelly has been in office long enough to make that assessment. He may not be as independent as Sinema is, but I think that is partially due to his junior status.
He's new to office, but he's been to the left of Sinema on every major vote so far.
 
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ThatRobGuy

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Healthcare (most recently prescription drug pricing) and min wage.

I have friends who used to campaign for her and say she no longer supports the platform she used to. They say she’s been bought out by big pharma and others. The bottom line is that the people who voted for her support the infrastructure bill, drug pricing reform, etc.

I don’t look to any of the orgs you listed to decide how to vote. Especially not the Chamber of Commerce. Not that they aren’t relevant to a lot of folks, I get why you posted those stats.

Some of the die-hard democrats who voted for her may support those things.

However, in "purple" states (especially ones where the left isn't all that "far left"), one has to also have appeal to the moderates.

For instance.

If you're in a state with
35% left
30% center
35% right

A policy package that the 35% left thinks it the greatest thing since sliced bread doesn't amount to much if a lot of people in the 30% center group aren't so sure about it. She's in a state where she needs support from moderates (much like Manchin is)

Which is why I mentioned before that if she was running in a much more liberal area, the decision to primary her may make sense if she's not playing ball.

It's not like she won by a massive margin
upload_2021-10-14_10-10-35.png


It's not like they have a ton of wiggle room there to go much further left
 
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Albion

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The Democrats' frustration with these two has been boiling over for a few months now. However, the push to force them to comply with the rest of the party (and even a threat to present a primary challenger for them) may be throwing the baby out with the bathwater so to speak.
You're probably correct about this, and it's a well-structured post. However, I wonder about the closing comment ("It's almost like the trap republicans fell into when they took people who were life long republicans [and voted conservative on most things], and ran their names through the mud and called them "RINO" because they deviated from them on 1 or 2 issues...").

Can you think of any such who were ostracized and called that name because of only 1 or 2 issues? There is a movement apparently gaining ground at the state and precinct level among Republicans to end at last the customary tolerance shown towards elected Republican legislators in Republican districts who have repeatedly broken ranks with their party. Certainly, it's not about a "1 or 2 issues" record.
 
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Albion

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You saying conservative don’t vote out conservatives politician who disagree with them? Wow I learn something new every day.
You probably have your own definition of "conservative." Otherwise, I cannot see much for you to base your assessment on.
 
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pacomascarot

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Progressive PAC kick-starts search for challengers to Manchin, Sinema

The Left Is Done Pressuring Kyrsten Sinema. Now They Want a Primary.

Infrastructure bill: Patience wanes as Democrats demand Sinema and Manchin reveal views on Biden agenda - CNNPolitics


The Democrats' frustration with these two has been boiling over for a few months now. However, the push to force them to comply with the rest of the party (and even a threat to present a primary challenger for them) may be throwing the baby out with the bathwater so to speak.

It would seem like they run the risk of losing senate votes on some other issues crucial to their platform
Manchin and Sinema both:
-Support Universal Healthcare
-Support Democratic immigration initiatives
-Accept gay marriage
-Support min wage increase
-Sinema has a solid pro-choice voting record, Manchin has a mixed record
-Support expanding social security
-Oppose Republican school choice initiatives
-Support higher taxes on the wealthy
-Pro-union
- (Sinema is pro gun control, Manchin leans a tad the other way, but still favors background checks)

Hmmm, let's see if they would actually vote with their caucus if any of these actually come to the floor.

So far I've not seen Manchin stand for much of ANYTHING that would further the Dem platform. And Sinema is too busy playing stupid word games revealing that she stands for literally nothing.

I don't have faith that they actually WOULD support any of these things if they actually had to vote for them.
 
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Albion

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Hmmm, let's see if they would actually vote with their caucus if any of these actually come to the floor.

So far I've not seen Manchin stand for much of ANYTHING that would further the Dem platform.
Manchin's overall voting record shows him to be the Senate Democrat whose voting record, when plotted on a graph, is the farthest towards the Republicans of all the Democrats. But it still is farther left than all of the 50 Republicans in the Senate.
 
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ThatRobGuy

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Hmmm, let's see if they would actually vote with their caucus if any of these actually come to the floor.

So far I've not seen Manchin stand for much of ANYTHING that would further the Dem platform. And Sinema is too busy playing stupid word games revealing that she stands for literally nothing.

I don't have faith that they actually WOULD support any of these things if they actually had to vote for them.

Actually, if you look at their voting records, they have voted with their party most of the time.

Current Members of the Senate

Her profile in particular:
Learn more about Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.)

She's only voted against her party 3.2% of the time.

Making the entirety of "what it means to be loyal to the party" solely contingent on the 3.2T bill is the same myopic viewpoint that the republicans had when they made "loyalty to the GOP" solely reliant in how one voted with regards to the Trump impeachment.

Democrats are giving Manchin and Sinema the same sort of treatment that the GOP gave Richard Burr, Mitt Romney, Ben Sasse and Bill Cassidy.

Republicans are more likely to vote against their party based on the first link I sent. Rand Paul and Ted Cruz vote against the GOP more than Manchin and Sinema vote against the Democrats...I don't see the GOP trying to stir up a primary to get them out to get someone "more loyal".

Perhaps Democrats have a stronger sentiment of "conform or else!"
 
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mark46

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Perhaps Democrats have a stronger sentiment of "conform or else!"

Yes, it seems that if you don't want to spend $7T that you aren't a real Democrat.

If you don't want to give car buyers tens of thousands for buying the EV's, then you aren't a real Democrat. It matters not at all that no incentives are needed. It makes no difference that these incentives would not go to the poor at all, and little to the Middle Class.

The Democrats have a winning strategy available. Fully fund a small number of initiatives and campaign on them, as well as campaigning on physical infrastructure. Making the increased child credit permanent is a winning issue. Another is required family leave.
=================
Let's consider those who cannot afford working at a $15 to $20 an hour because the cost of childcare is almost that for the two children. The Democrat answer is to pay the worker a large subsidy for childcare so that she can work at a low wage job. Is society really better with this solution? IMO, just pay a much higher child care credit.
 
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