I live in a largely working-class neighborhood that's mostly hispanic and black. Kids are playing outside all the time. Prior to about a week ago, people routinely held parties in our apartment duplex complex. Clearly, people are not getting the message to socially distance. And that's precisely why COVID-19 is spreading in states like Florida. Confusing messaging from our leadership that isn't based in science.
The "bad messaging from leadership" angle doesn't play for a lot of things.
There used to be a time when a politician said something, and it meant something...but I'm not convinced that even if Trump were to do a 180 and to give a 100% science-based message, that it would make a bit of difference.
People are already "dug in" so to speak...and were before Covid started.
You have the "Trump can do no wrong" camp, and the "Trump can do no right" camp.
If Trump came out on TV last month, and issued a nationwide mask mandate, you'd have certain pockets of the country trying to do things like this:
People of color are exempt from Oregon county's mandatory mask order
The narrative would simply switch from "Trump is anti-science for not mandating masks" to "Trump is racist for trying to make people of color wear masks because it may subject them to discrimination"
Unless, there's multitude of people on the left who are saying "Gee shucks, I would've worn a mask, but Trump isn't telling people to...guess it's his fault"
The very fact that they're calling him out for being wrong shows that they're independent thinkers who don't form their position simply based on a politician saying it.
The public polling is indicative of that...when CNN touts polling that shows low confidence levels in Trump's handling of this thing (which isn't unfounded, he has mishandled a lot of it), not 10 mins after talking about how the problem is that Trump isn't telling people to do something, those are conflicting messages. If the majority of the public don't have confidence in him, then why is "it's because he's not telling the public to do something" listed as the culprit?
That'd be like me saying "I don't trust payday lenders, they're sketchy", and then I went to the racetrack and gambled all my money away, and when asked why, I said "well, it's the payday lenders' fault for not telling me it was a bad idea"