Covid19-Comparing response and deaths across nations, over time.

tall73

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Able to compare a few snapshots in time now:

compare 6.png
 
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tall73

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Found data from additional posts to update the post right above this. Seeing the different snapshots in time helps understand where nations are on the curve, who is slowing and who is speeding up.
 
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tall73

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Worldometers breaks down the USA data by state. It helps to understand the curve in the USA by comparing other nations to states within the USA, as some of the states are quite large. Additionally, while aspects of the response were national, states also enacted their own lockdowns, testing, tracing, etc., and have their own factors that could impact response.

This also illustrates that some states started their curve later.

I wish that they included more data for other countries by state or province on Worldometers. You can find it on other sites, but I am not sure if they are using the same methodology.

When considering just New York state, they have double the deaths per million population as Belgium.

Belgium has around 11.4 million population per a google search.
New York state has around 19.4 million.

Deaths per million population:

15-May
New York 1,410
New Jersey 1,120
Connecticut 903
Massachusetts 795
Belgium 773
Spain 587
Louisiana 520
Italy 519
UK 495
Michigan 479
Rhode Island 442
France 420
Sweden 361
Pennsylvania 335
Netherlands 329
Maryland 316
Illinois 310
Ireland 305
Delaware 267
Indiana 244
Switzerland 217
Colorado 189
Mississippi 161
Georgia 146
Canada 145
Ohio 131
Washington 130
Minnesota 119
Portugal 117
New Mexico 115
Virginia 114
New Hampshire 111
Nevada 110
Iowa 101
Alabama 96
Germany 95
Denmark 93
Missouri 92
Florida 87
Arizona 86
Vermont 85
California 77
Wisconsin 75
Kentucky 73
South Carolina 72
Oklahoma 72
Austria 70
Kansas 66
North Carolina 61
Nebraska 58
Finland 53
North Dakota 52
Maine 51
South Dakota 49
Norway 43
Texas 43
Tennessee 42
Idaho 40
West Virginia 35
Arkansas 32
Oregon 32
Utah 23
Montana 15
Alaska 14
Wyoming 12
Hawaii 12
Japan 6
South Korea 5
Australia 4
New Zealand 4
 
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tall73

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...suggest adding South American countries. to the table.

Unfortunately at this point that would be difficult. I have a number of nations I would like to add, but this was based on earlier posts on more specific topics (like the Sweden thread). I don't have the historical data for other nations.
 
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Occams Barber

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...suggest adding South American countries. to the table.
Depending on how @tall73 is doing it, building that table can be a tedious copy/paste/edit process or, equally tedious, manual entry.

Below is a link to the Worldometer world data. Using the table for all countries you can limit the data to individual continents (like South America). On the left of the table header you'll see the continents listed. Click on South America and the list will cover only the countries in that part of the world.

For even more fun, copy/paste versions of the table into Excel and you can do amazing things like comparing stuff (like continents) to other stuff (like other continents or GDP or population density or median age or average temperatures or.......) or adding it all up and dividing by the number you first thought of.

Truly Nerd Paradise. :)

Coronavirus Update (Live): 5,684,803 Cases and 352,225 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
OB
 
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Kalevalatar

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Sweden used to have one of the strongest, TOP-5 country brands in the world: nice, reliable, trustworthy, efficient. To build those country brands takes years and decades. To undo a country brand takes no more than a few weeks or a couple of months, as brand "Sweden" has found out the hard way. That's a billion dollars economic bye-bye there.

Here in neighbouring Finland, the Finnish summer is bright and short, and fraught with all kinds of dangers big and small: vipers, ticks, deer flies, bears -- and Swedes.

Headline of leading local Finnish newspaper the day before yesterday:

Bottlenose dolphins sighted off Finnish coast for first time in nearly 70 years

Headline of the same paper yesterday:

Swedes spotted in Finnish archipelago

Several cars with Swedish license plates. Be careful, folks, and stay safe!

I wish I was kidding.

There's been talk about a Nordic travel bubble, or perhaps even Nordic-Baltic travel bubble for the coming summer, as the countries have all managed to press down those Covid-19 infections. Denmark says it could re-open its borders to Germany and Norway, but not to Sweden. Norway says it could consider re-opening its borders to Denmark and Finland, but not to Sweden. When asked about the possibility of recontinuing cruises between Helsinki, FI, and Stockholm, SE, Helsinki residents response is uniform: "But who'd want to go to Sweden!? And Swedes are not welcome to Finland."

Meanwhile, the Swedish Foreign Minister Ann Linde is boohooing that the poor Swedes are being treated unfairly by their mean Nordic neighbours...

Sweden says exclusion from Nordic travel zone would be 'political'

Yes, FM Linde, it is political. Finland's, pop. 5.5 million, COVID-19 policies have led to 312 deaths. Sweden's, pop. 10.3 million, COVID-19 policies have led to 4,029 and counting deaths, which is 3,400 excess deaths when compared to Finland. So no, it's not a "complicated issue" and no, Sweden's COVID-19 strategy is not "the best in the world," no matter how many times the Swedish health agency repeats the ridiculous claim in pompous Trumpian fashion.


 
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tall73

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Deaths per million:

upload_2020-6-11_11-11-13.png



I am not sure that Spain's numbers are accurate anymore. They revised them down on May 25, and instituted a new surveillance platform. Since then deaths have dropped considerably. Perhaps someone with familiarity can clarify.
 
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Occams Barber

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Able to compare a few snapshots in time now:

View attachment 276889


Thanks @tall73

Based on a combination of the rate of increase since 15 April and today's deaths per million, it looks like Sweden, the UK and the US are the current 'winners'. I'm also hearing suggestions that the US may be entering a second phase. I'm not sure whether UK and Sweden are tailing off yet.

Meanwhile...in New Zeeland...

EDIT: UK appears to be tailing off, Sweden's numbers (cases and death rate) are all over the place and the US appears to be running on the spot at around 1000 deaths per mill. (based on the 7 day rolling average from Worldometer)
OB
 
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tall73

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compare death casses rolling 7.no scale.png


This is looking at the US data for new daily cases (blue), and daily deaths (red), on a rolling 7 day average to smooth things out.

These are not operating on the same scale numerically, as cases are far greater than deaths, but I wanted to see how each curve compares relatively.
 
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JohnDB

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There's going to be a ton of data for the epidemiologists out there to ponder over.


Mass transit definitely figures into the mix.

Identified contact tracing using cell phones is illegal in the USA but perfectly legitimate in other countries.

Behaviors matter....that's going to be the focus of the studies. And then the next pandemic will give us a much better idea how to actually make a workable quarantine without all the knee jerking next time.

Of course genetics play a role...but not nearly as much as behaviors do.

And in the years to come we will see what actually worked and what really didn't.
 
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