Petros2015
Well-Known Member
- Jun 23, 2016
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I was hoping for 'Captain Trips'
I prefer "The Thunberg Solution"
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I was hoping for 'Captain Trips'
At least its no longer a "nameless terror".Oh thank goodness. There, problem solved.
I dont recall her advocating a cull.I prefer "The Thunberg Solution"
I dont recall her advocating a cull. But if you say so...
Is this some kind of country wisdom regarding pets?But the minute you name it, it becomes yours.
Consider that with the regular flu, and the corony corony (as Yosemite Sam would say) Germany is now being hit hard with a bird flu. Seems rather all too convenient to be coincidence.She didn't advocate this as a solution (and I don't imagine she would), but if you listen to her speech again, and then go back and look at the expected kill distribution by age, and the empty highways of Wuhan, it makes me wonder if someone might have chosen to implement it on her behalf.
And then there's the story of two people on an airplane that's going to crash. One says to the other who is very upset, "No need to be upset. You should just know when you're number is up your number is up!" The other responds, "Yeah but maybe your number is up but mine isn't and I'm just in the wrong place at the wrong time!"That reminds me of an old joke.
A woman was sitting on her porch as flood waters rose. A rescue truck driving by offered her a ride to safety. She said no thanks God will save me. The flood continued, forcing her to the second floor of her home. A rescue boat came by and offered her a ride to safety. She said no thanks God will save me.
The water rose and she was forced onto the roof. A rescue helicopter came by and offered her a ride to safety. She said no thanks God will save me. The waters rose and she drowned.
Upon meeting God she asked, I trusted you, why didn't you save me? God said 'Hey, I sent you a truck and boat and a helicopter.'
Think it might effect turnout at Democrat rallies? Would the fear factor be politically advantageous? The markets are already effected. Fear is a great means of control. Global fear indicates an opportunity for great changes.Is that pure presumptuous thinking? Thoughts?
No one is talking how long before it kills. Day"s? Weeks?
Speaking of North America how can one envision what would take place?
For invisible wuhans I'd look at Indonesia, who claim to have zero cases, and is not even testing those returning from China.First time I've been able to say this in about a month, but I think we are going to be OK. As long as everyone in the global theater plays nice, and there are no 'invisible Wuhans' brewing somewhere in the slums of some 3rd world nation or the New York subway. I ran some projections using rolling 7 day average growth rates of all known outbreaks. Wuhan growth rate has dropped to about 5% and most other provinces or areas while in danger of Wuhan'ing, shouldn't. I assumed a continued 5% growth rate in Wuhan, but also a rolling 21 day removal of cases (if, 21 days ago there were 270 cases, the current case # grows by 5%, and then gets the cases from 21 days ago removed - they are recovered, fatalities, or more or less resolved. Regardless, they shouldn't be contributing to further growth, confirmed cases are usually in lockdown). The other provinces with slower growth rates due due quarantine and not being caught off guard initially as bad a Wuhan was can't make up for the cases that Wuhan won't generate and that eventually it loses due to resolution. This actually results in a peak of about 60k cases in a week or so, and then, as you remove the resolved cases, a drop of the confirmed cases that really matter from a contagion/growth perspective. Things potentially start to look sane by the end of February. The death toll will keep rolling in behind it unfortunately, nothing to be done about that. I'm not an epidemiologist, just a numbers guy. I scream a lot when I see numbers I don't like, but these are good numbers to see projecting into the future at the moment, whereas 12 days ago they were catastrophic. I'm sure you will hear more from me if they trend back that way, but for the moment... it looks like I get to see Cirque du Soleil in July after all.
As long as everyone in the global theater plays nice, and there are no 'invisible Wuhans' brewing somewhere