Is the GOP doomed to lose the House and the Senate in 2018?

wing2000

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dgiharris

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Are Red state local economies generally in shambles? ..

This could really be one of those things where the truth doesn't matter all that much. The sentiment and the feeling is that they aren't doing as well as they should. Maybe a fix is a hard core marketing campaign letting everyone know "Hey, the economy is actually pretty good."

In any event, Trump tapped into the frustration and hatred that was left over after the housing market collapse and not to mention a lot of jobs going overseas


It's the old time blue collar manufacturing and brick-and-mortar retail industries that are in trouble. And let's be honest--there is no long-term future for those jobs. They've been done in by cheaper foreign labor, and the on-line economy. Protectionist rhetoric (which is all Trump has offered so far) may get votes, but realistically, the steady downward trend of these businesses can't be stopped..

This has a lot of truth to it. So the left needs to figure something out. My initial take would be for the left to champion the clean energy jobs and to make a show of bringing these jobs to Red States. I'd also like some more brainstorming on the idea of biofuels, that is something Red States can benefit from. Basically, the left needs to figure something out that they can sell to Red States.

As is, Trump is more or less selling them rainbows and unicorn horns with his protectionist strategy for coal jobs. I mean, seriously??? But they bought it hook-line-and-sinker. At least Trump is "doing something" right? And he makes a BIG SHOW out of doing that little something. Dems can learn a thing or two from Trump in this regards.
 
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Liza B.

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I think Republicans are screwed in all the purple States or states that see-saw back and forth between Blue and Red...

but I don't think the Solid Red States have much to worry about unless their front runners or pedophiles or obvious blatantly outspoken racists.

I believe the House and Senate will swing back to Blue control, but I don't think it will be a landslide swing.

Also, you have to remember, Trump is expert at tapping into the emotion and the outrage and we learned the hard way that that trumps fact. Facts don't matter.

Also, I feel that Democrats and Liberals are making the mistake of focusing on Trump's alleged idiocy. It's like we have failed to learn the lessons of 2016, and that lesson was-- it doesn't matter that he is an alleged idiot. It doesn't matter that he tweets like an emo teen having a temper tantrum or that he repeatedly says things that are inaccurate or that he whines 24/7 about fake news or a 100 other things.

Democrats and Liberals imo have FAILED to understand why Trumpers voted for Trump.
IMO, a very large segment of middle class White America for right or wrong feels neglected by both the GOP and the Dems. They feel not only neglected, but they feel *bleep* on. They feel disenfranchised, they feel minorities get the breaks, they see their jobs going overseas, they see minorities getting all the entitlement programs, they see Whites getting blamed for everything bad, they see reverse racism against them, they see their local economies suffering...

And in the midsts of all of the above, GOP and Dems do nothing.

But then comes Trump. He stands up in front of them and he empathizes, he "seems" to understand their gripes and complaints. He promises to address their key concerns. He expresses their anger and frustration and then vows to right the wrongs for them...

What I have failed to see Liberals and Dems do is to offer an alternative to these Trumpers. If I were a white middle class man in a Red State with my local economy in shambles, I would feel I'd have "no choice" but to support Trump because he is the ONLY politician addressing my plight.

So.... "The Left" needs to figure out a way to reach Trumpers. The whole, "Trump is stupid how can you vote for him" argument is a red herring and worse, it is a losing strategy. "The Left" needs to get off their elitist arrogant I-know-better-than-you high horse and they need to go hat-in-hand to the disgruntled middle class white voting block in these Red States, listen to their concerns, and figure out a sincere way to address those concerns.

You are right, but the Democrats won't do this. They can't; they no longer know how. They are a fractured party of Identity groups now. They took one hot minute to consider NOT being this after the election in 2016 and rejected it.

It is what it is, now.
 
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Liza B.

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This attitude is exactly why this country is doomed.

Despite me hating Trump with the passion of a thousand white hot suns, I can give you a list of Trump's good qualities and positives.

However, there is this human condition about being unable to see the other side of the argument. The GOP has brainwashed so many of their members into thinking that there is NOTHING of value to the Democrats viewpoints, arguments, and side. Even worse, the GOP preaches that the Dems are trying to "destroy" America while the GOP is trying to save it...

There are plenty of things that the Democrats are right about that GOP is wrong about.
There are plenty of things that the GOP is right about that the Dems are wrong about.

However, each side pretending that that other side has no merit is why nothing of importance gets done in this country and/or why so much energy, time, and resources is spent fighting.

Take the DACA stuff. Both sides are in clear agreement that we need to get the DACA kids a path to citizenship yet both sides can't reach an agreement...

Learn to see the other side of the argument or else enjoy the view as this country burns to the ground because it was destroyed from within...

If the Democrats shut down the gov't over DACA, there goes your "Blue Wave".
 
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Creech

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Trump has painted himself the victim, so he can blame it all on the liberal media and the RINOs, and the Dems...

The GOP has gone from the party of obstructionists under Obama to the Whining Party that is unfairly persecuted and oppressed despite having a majority in the House and the Senate and having a Republican in the White House... Despite all of that, it is still not enough for them to do their jobs.

I also have to give Trump an A+ on his ability to distract the public from the stuff that really matters. We focus on the idiocy and in the background he passes Executive orders and policies that hurt us all... Well, everyone but the top 1%...

so at the end of the day, I think Trump's base will still stand by him. He is fighting the good fight for them as far as they are concerned. Truth be told, it is more important that he "appears" to be fighting the good fight then it is for him to make actual progress and actual achievements...

There is a large difference in the eyes of Trump supporters, between saying "The Democrats are the reason the wall hasn't been built and amnesty hasn't been thrown out the window" and "I will work with the Democrats to support DACA (amnesty) in exchange for the wall"

I think many Trump supporters know that is complete appeasement and will not make his base excited to vote Republican, especially since it is largely the REPUBLICANS which have hurt the Trump agenda.
 
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TLK Valentine

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There is a large difference in the eyes of Trump supporters, between saying "The Democrats are the reason the wall hasn't been built and amnesty hasn't been thrown out the window" and "I will work with the Democrats to support DACA (amnesty) in exchange for the wall"

There is a difference -- Donald's supporters believe him when he say he will do something for DACA... even if he gets the wall.

I think many Trump supporters know that is complete appeasement and will not make his base excited to vote Republican, especially since it is largely the REPUBLICANS which have hurt the Trump agenda.

And that's only going to hurt Donald. He's barely getting any legislature through WITH the GOP controlling both houses... what do you think will happen if they lose one... or possibly both?
 
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mark kennedy

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Six months ago I would consider it laughable but the situation now, yes dems take control. Its not just Trump it's balance, it always happens. The DNC will break their arms patting themselves on the back but it's the moderates controlling this and have been for decades. If there is going to ever be a third party, may it be those magnificent moderates.
 
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Rion

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This attitude is exactly why this country is doomed.

Despite me hating Trump with the passion of a thousand white hot suns, I can give you a list of Trump's good qualities and positives.

However, there is this human condition about being unable to see the other side of the argument. The GOP has brainwashed so many of their members into thinking that there is NOTHING of value to the Democrats viewpoints, arguments, and side. Even worse, the GOP preaches that the Dems are trying to "destroy" America while the GOP is trying to save it...

There are plenty of things that the Democrats are right about that GOP is wrong about.
There are plenty of things that the GOP is right about that the Dems are wrong about.

However, each side pretending that that other side has no merit is why nothing of importance gets done in this country and/or why so much energy, time, and resources is spent fighting.

Take the DACA stuff. Both sides are in clear agreement that we need to get the DACA kids a path to citizenship yet both sides can't reach an agreement...

Learn to see the other side of the argument or else enjoy the view as this country burns to the ground because it was destroyed from within...

Maybe because the Democrats haven't been arguing ideas but hatred of Trump? I've yet to hear an actual platform from the DNC.
 
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mark kennedy

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Maybe because the Democrats haven't been arguing ideas but hatred of Trump? I've yet to hear an actual platform from the DNC.
Plenty of time for that and I'm thinking DACA and a shut down would be a big factor.
 
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Rion

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Plenty of time for that and I'm thinking DACA and a shut down would be a big factor.

I don't think that would work out how you want, but regardless, saying that it isn't fair that Democrats are being painted as the party of "No" when they have yet to even put forth a basic platform is rather odd.
 
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mark kennedy

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I don't think that would work out how you want, but regardless, saying that it isn't fair that Democrats are being painted as the party of "No" when they have yet to even put forth a basic platform is rather odd.
Frankly it's not time to define the agenda when the situation is fluid. They will manage that much when they know more about what the issues need to be when the race starts in ernast.

If there is a correction in the market that could be a factor.
 
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essentialsaltes

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The House will likely go Dem, but the Senate is harder to shift. Not so many Republican seats are at stake. Once we have some actual candidates to assess and it gets closer to nose-counting time, we'll know more.
 
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TLK Valentine

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If the Democrats shut down the gov't over DACA, there goes your "Blue Wave".

Every other time I can recall the government was shut down, it was the GOP in charge of Congress at the time.

How many times did the Dems get the blame in the past?
 
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dgiharris

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Hungary added a wall. It was effective in keeping out most illegal immigrants during the European migrant crisis.
The cost effective argument is an anti-Trump ruse.
The estimated costs of the wall is 8 billion. That's nothing in terms of the overall federal budget. The wall may not cover every inch of the border and drones and patrol agents can be added.

The data you submitted is compelling. I read up on it a little bit and though the wall is "Credited" with reducing the immigration numbers, it should be noted that the wall was used in conjunction with police using tear gas, water cannons, and batons.

If the US is willing to use the wall in conjunction with tear gas, water cannons, and batons and word gets out that we are not bleeping around then yes, I will concede we would see a giant decrease in illegal immigration.

however, I have yet to see a comprehensive plan for border issues. All I hear about is "the wall".

I do stand by my statement, a wall in and of itself is not going to impact numbers. We'd have to not only increase manpower but for it to be truly a deterrent, we'd have to be willing to do what Hungary did. We'd have to be willing to take the kid gloves off in order to realize the full deterrent power of our "new" border security measures.

I will think more on this and do more reading.
 
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