Predict the Democratic nominee for President

[GodLovesCats]

Andrew Yang is not even running in NH. He fired his campaign staff after his poor results in IA.

 

[mark46]

Andrew Yang is not even running in NH. He fired his campaign staff after his poor results in IA.

Believe what you want. I watched him speak to CNN with a crowd of supporters behind him with placards. He is currently running at 3% in the polls in Iowa, unchanged in the last week.

I guess that I will stop responding to obvious misinformation. BTW, here is the rally. It took me less than 30 seconds to find and post it. Please do some checking in the future before posting misinformation.

Andrew Yang speaks in New Hampshire ahead of primary

 

[GodLovesCats]

Surprise! Amy Klobuchar took the early lead in New Hampshire with one percent of precincts reporting.

 

[bhsmte]

I am confident Warren is done and Biden needs to do well in the next few to have any chance. Watch out for Bloomberg as well.

 

[GodLovesCats]

Warren has been doing better than Biden since voting started. She never indicated a desire to quit before Super Tuesday or on March 4. I would be surprised if she drops out immediately after losing in SC.

 

[bhsmte]

Warren has been doing better than Biden since voting started. She never indicated a desire to quit before Super Tuesday or on March 4. I would be surprised if she drops out immediately after losing in SC.

Probably right, but the handwriting is on the wall. If she cant do well in new hampshire, her campaign is in trouble.

 

[GodLovesCats]

Probably right, but the handwriting is on the wall. If she cant do well in new hampshire, her campaign is in trouble.

The NH results made no sense. She is right next door in MA and fell behind two candidates who live in the Central time zone.

My prediction: St. Patrick's Day is too late so I can't vote for her.

 

[bhsmte]

The NH results made no sense. She is right next door in MA and fell behind two candidates who live in the Central time zone.

My prediction: St. Patrick's Day is too late so I can't vote for her.

The sense it makes is, she has no chance.

 

[GodLovesCats]

The sense it makes is, she has no chance.

She could "have no chance" and still do very well in a state next to hers.

You know who else has no chance? Amy Klobuchar.

 

[PloverWing]

I was surprised Warren didn't do better in New Hampshire. Super Tuesday includes her home state of Massachusetts, so we'll see how she does March 3. If she can't win her home state, that's a problem. If she does well on Super Tuesday, she could be back in it. I think it would be a mistake for any of the middle-of-the-pack candidates like Warren or Biden to drop out before March 3.

Also: In the original poll, I picked Biden as most likely to win the nomination. It would be cheating to change my selection now, but for the record, I no longer think he's the likely winner. I am not sad.

 

[wing2000]

...Bernie Sanders win isn't exactly impressive. If one aligns the top 5 NH results by "progressive" (Sanders / Warren) vs the "moderate" candidates (Buttigieg, Klobachar, Biden) , the moderates came out on top - 52 to 35%

Given Sanders resounding defeat of Clinton in 2016 (60 to 38%), one might have expected him to do even better.

 

[bhsmte]

...Bernie Sanders win isn't exactly impressive. If one aligns the top 5 NH results by "progressive" (Sanders / Warren) vs the "moderate" candidates (Buttigieg, Klobachar, Biden) , the moderates came out on top - 52 to 35%

Given Sanders resounding defeat of Clinton in 2016 (60 to 38%), one might have expected him to do even better.

Good point, but this year, sanders has more competition.

 

[GodLovesCats]

I was surprised Warren didn't do better in New Hampshire. Super Tuesday includes her home state of Massachusetts, so we'll see how she does March 3. If she can't win her home state, that's a problem. If she does well on Super Tuesday, she could be back in it. I think it would be a mistake for any of the middle-of-the-pack candidates like Warren or Biden to drop out before March 3.

Whether Elizabeth Warren does well on Super Tuesday has nothing to do with her home state. She needs to win bigger states with more delegates. A win in MA would not be news because it is to be expected but even with that the delegate count is small and will not help her after March 3.

Also: In the original poll, I picked Biden as most likely to win the nomination. It would be cheating to change my selection now, but for the record, I no longer think he's the likely winner. I am not sad.

If I had started this thread last year Joe Biden would have gotten my poll vote too. Good thing I put it off long enough to realize he is not even likely to be in the race on Florida's Election Day (March 17). I guess if everyone who voted for Biden changed it to someone else I could delete that choice, but I'm not sure if they would all want to.

 

[gaara4158]

It’s going to be Bernie. No one else is even worth talking about.

 

[Hank77]

How Many Delegates Do The 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates Have?

NPR is keeping a running total of the delegates won by each candidate in each state.

Klobuchar was the big surprise coming out of the NH primary.

 

[cow451]

How Many Delegates Do The 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates Have?

NPR is keeping a running total of the delegates won by each candidate in each state.

Pesky NPR with this talk about facts and information. Nobody cares about that stuff .

 

[GodLovesCats]

Nevada is up next on February 22. Unfortunately it is another caucus, but this time there will be no stupid app because the NDP was watching when the IDP struggled.

 

[gaara4158]

If we’re comparing Sanders to different combinations of other candidates, why not note that he was outspent by 7-to-1 total by all the other candidates and still won the most votes, twice?

 

[GodLovesCats]

Bernie Sanders believes only grassroots (whatever they are) should donate money to political parties. On his campaign website, there is a chart that shows only Donald Trump has more donations so far. How is a candidate who gets the more donations than any other Democrat being outspent?

 

[gaara4158]

Bernie Sanders believes only grassroots (whatever they are) should donate money to political parties. On his campaign website, there is a chart that shows only Donald Trump has more donations so far. How is a candidate who gets the more donations than any other Democrat being outspent?

It’s all in the amounts people are donating. Bernie’s average donor gives $18. Other candidates have billionaire donors giving much more. Some are actual billionaires spending their own money.