mpshiel said:
Wow, you are like the prophet of fear!
Unfortunately, however exciting it may be to want China to cast a huge shadow, it isn' there.
Now why would that be - would it be because the US, NATO, the EU and other allies have not actually sold any technology to China? Well yes, though the EU was going to break that but for some reason stopped thier deal (due to some sweet back door promises by the US I am imaginging) which causes China to declare that it was investing in Ship Building.
Why would ship building be a threat - well because China doesn't have any. Like China having nukes but virtually no long range missles. But in particular, China has no high technology (for instance Tawain has Chinese assembly factories of Widescreen TV - which are too advanced for China to build themselves) which includes most importantly - a modern communications system - China hasn't been able to buy a communications system in decades. Which means they might have the largest standing army but can't co-ordinate it as a modern army. They might have nukes, but virtually no satalites to use for targetting, no high speed computers to do logistics, no chips to put in new fighters, no high tech design factories, etc.
Now, while IBM has signed the largest computer deal with China, those Computers are 2 generations at least behind Tawain (which makes the chips which run the US military).
While China is creating a submarine fleet (active around 2010), they still are not considered a threat to north America. When China gets some new aircraft (they have a lot based on 1960's soviet designs...oh no!) and a few aircraft carriers to match (India has two!) - then start making spooky predictions.
They aren't a threat now, but I wouldn't take them so lightly.
Our
current military advantage is founded on about three things; a] our
past advantage in tech, b] the yet remaining area under a fast fading historical curve, a happenstance of the residue of the last world war, and c] the world's willingness to finance our debt and let us spend at WWII levels of defense spending, to the point where instead of defeating America on a battlefield, we can simply be bought for pennies on the dollar without firing a shot. Oooops.
While we continue to send about 5% of our undergaduates--and, half of them foregin nationals--into engineering and science, China has been and continues to send over 70%.
When it comes to deep submicron technology and the tools for developing same, guess who has owned the major toolmaker technology for years? Never mind the foundaries that no longer exist to build WWI era tanks; where are the Silicon foundaries for the 21st century battlefields? We are currently ruling the skies...in 1970s era fighter planes, and that includes the F117.
The light we see on the horizon is someone else's century.
The #1 US undergraduate degree is currently accounting; just in time to address the highest growth rate outsourced career market there is(accounting.) The biggest piece of the US education juggernaut is geared up to produce a workforce... that is going to compete with $5/day labor in India. Good timing, that.
Oh yes, and more than a handful of sports marketers. A smorgasbord of economies fattened on the 'DisneyLand Experience' has continued that ride well into adulthood; the momentum here is precisely in the wrong direction; unpowered flight, drifting, anything goes.
Meanwhile, China and the rest of the developing world is hungry, and if we stop whining about it, will one day wake us all the Hell back up and re-energize American industry, just like Japan taught us how to make quality cars again. Christ, does anyone remember what US cars were like in the 70s and 80s? the fat ass hood ornamant Ford LTD? The Chevy Citation? And then, "K"-Cars?
China has its own best interests at heart; no ****. That is exactly why we will come to depend on them, as a competitor for the highground in the future. Because, as we have aptly shown over the course of the last 50 years, without a competent competitor for the highground, we, like all mere naked sweaty apes, slip to the level of our weakest competitor, and take the easiest path.