Houston-area school board votes to remove 13 chapters from state-approved science textbooks, citing controversial topics

rambot

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I am with you. You have been very clear. Please continue.
I'm pressed right now but I'll follow up tomorrow with another longer one.

Now, given that the carbon cycle, has been for HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS of years, continuing to cycle along and continues to provide "short/medium term" stability, we know that the increases we are seeing cannot be due to natural variations. Naturally sourced variations would show up (thought BARELY...unless the event was....astronomically huge) in measurements of atmospheric co2 in punctuated events and (before the Industrial revolution) would have had the natural "feedback systems" (eg: the Northern hemisphere forests) to mitigate those punctuated events and it would return to a regulated state in short order.

Again, you will note that the trend line for CO2 is upward. And not exactly "slowly"....but it is, undeniably upward. We know there are 0 natural explanations for that increase in CO2. We know that even Volcanic eruptions that spew out HUGE amounts of CO2 (but ALL of the volcanic activity on planet earth are only 1/60th of the amount of CO2 humans create in a near (https://www.climate.gov/news-featur...-carbon-dioxide-volcanoes-or-human-activities...first sentence). So even a HUGE volcanic eruption (like the ones in Iceland a few years ago) would barely be more than a blip.

Most importantly, what the dark trendline in the background is telling us is that CO2 is getting added to the atmosphere, and the atmosphere (and biosphere) itself does not have the ability to regulate that amount of CO2 that is being taken from deep below the earth and put into the carbon cycle. So that's the second piece of bad news:

Our planet cannot maintain stasis (equalibrium) due to the CO2 humans are putting into it's natural cycles.

Our first piece of bad news was way back in the first post where we both accepted that CO2 molecules (technically the bonds...which can change their orientation slightly) can hold infrared heat.


That's all I have time for now. Let me know if this is all still okay and then i'm gonna move on cause I think my main points about co2 I wanted to get across are done.


All of this (and everything I've said so far) does not even take into consideration other greenhouse gases like methane and water vapour. Just focussing on co2.
__________
EDIT:
Super super super sidebar. Thanks a lot for this opportunity to force me to think through this a little better; it's been a LONG time and I've never had the challenge of trying to teach this stuff directly to a person.
I don't teach climate change as a topic in junior high but I love it (it gets brought up but that's it).

I can see you are a Christian. I am delighted to continue to try to explain AGW to you but if you want to hear from a truly awesome, reputable, CHRISTIAN climatologist, Katherine Hayhoe is a really great person to listen to.
 
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Bradskii

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I don't give that Accord much credence because every country sets their own standards and there are no methods of enforcement.

Basically - it does not require the biggest polluters to really do anything.
I'll agree with you that it doesn't do enough to ensure that all signatories do the necessary to ensure we limit the damage. But that wasn't the reason I brought it up, was it...

The reason I brought it up was to show that we have the most comprehensive consensus about acknowledging a problem that the world has ever seen. And you completely ignored that. So I'll ask you again if you could please address it. And explain why you think you're right and all the experts in all the countries of the world (bar 3) are wrong.
 
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Bradskii

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A consensus based on a hoax to act as a slippery slope leading to one world government, I think is the MAGA reasoning. And we know that there is no greater threat to a Christian America than one world government. (except maybe drag queens reading to children)
But we know that argument is nonsense. You think that North Korea, for example, is agreeing on climate change with the US because they're keen on a world government? That China agrees with Europe for the same reason? Russia with Ukraine? Anyone who puts that forward as an argument has the IQ of a box of rocks. They can be excluded from sensible discussions on the matter.
 
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Zaha Torte

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I'll agree with you that it doesn't do enough to ensure that all signatories do the necessary to ensure we limit the damage. But that wasn't the reason I brought it up, was it...

The reason I brought it up was to show that we have the most comprehensive consensus about acknowledging a problem that the world has ever seen. And you completely ignored that. So I'll ask you again if you could please address it. And explain why you think you're right and all the experts in all the countries of the world (bar 3) are wrong.
I understood your reason for bringing it up. I was only pointing out that that was not enough to convince me that there is an imminent threat.

If everyone in a house agrees that the house is on fire - yet they don't decide to really do anything about it - either there is no fire, or they don't consider the fire to be an imminent threat.
 
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Zaha Torte

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I'm pressed right now but I'll follow up tomorrow with another longer one.

Now, given that the carbon cycle, has been for HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS of years, continuing to cycle along and continues to provide "short/medium term" stability, we know that the increases we are seeing cannot be due to natural variations. Naturally sourced variations would show up (thought BARELY...unless the event was....astronomically huge) in measurements of atmospheric co2 in punctuated events and (before the Industrial revolution) would have had the natural "feedback systems" (eg: the Northern hemisphere forests) to mitigate those punctuated events and it would return to a regulated state in short order.

Again, you will note that the trend line for CO2 is upward. And not exactly "slowly"....but it is, undeniably upward. We know there are 0 natural explanations for that increase in CO2. We know that even Volcanic eruptions that spew out HUGE amounts of CO2 (but ALL of the volcanic activity on planet earth are only 1/60th of the amount of CO2 humans create in a near (https://www.climate.gov/news-featur...-carbon-dioxide-volcanoes-or-human-activities...first sentence). So even a HUGE volcanic eruption (like the ones in Iceland a few years ago) would barely be more than a blip.

Most importantly, what the dark trendline in the background is telling us is that CO2 is getting added to the atmosphere, and the atmosphere (and biosphere) itself does not have the ability to regulate that amount of CO2 that is being taken from deep below the earth and put into the carbon cycle. So that's the second piece of bad news:

Our planet cannot maintain stasis (equalibrium) due to the CO2 humans are putting into it's natural cycles.

Our first piece of bad news was way back in the first post where we both accepted that CO2 molecules (technically the bonds...which can change their orientation slightly) can hold infrared heat.


That's all I have time for now. Let me know if this is all still okay and then i'm gonna move on cause I think my main points about co2 I wanted to get across are done.


All of this (and everything I've said so far) does not even take into consideration other greenhouse gases like methane and water vapour. Just focussing on co2.
__________
EDIT:
Super super super sidebar. Thanks a lot for this opportunity to force me to think through this a little better; it's been a LONG time and I've never had the challenge of trying to teach this stuff directly to a person.
I don't teach climate change as a topic in junior high but I love it (it gets brought up but that's it).

I can see you are a Christian. I am delighted to continue to try to explain AGW to you but if you want to hear from a truly awesome, reputable, CHRISTIAN climatologist, Katherine Hayhoe is a really great person to listen to.
You are doing very well and I am still very interested if you are willing to share more.
 
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Bradskii

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I understood your reason for bringing it up. I was only pointing out that that was not enough to convince me that there is an imminent threat.

If everyone in a house agrees that the house is on fire - yet they don't decide to really do anything about it - either there is no fire, or they don't consider the fire to be an imminent threat.
So you think that some countries aren't doing enough, so therefore there can't be a problem. Is that seriously the basis for your position? Maybe you can point to any country who has done literally nothing. You must have a list handy as you're basing your very position on the fact.

I've already checked out North Korea and the smallest countries in Africa, South America and Asia so you can skip those.
 
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driewerf

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I understood your reason for bringing it up. I was only pointing out that that was not enough to convince me that there is an imminent threat.

If everyone in a house agrees that the house is on fire - yet they don't decide to really do anything about it - either there is no fire, or they don't consider the fire to be an imminent threat.
By that reasoning:
  1. smoking is not a health issue because a lot of people continue or even start to smoke - it's just the experts saying so.
  2. obesity is not a health issue, because a lot of people are not trying to lose weight, obesity is even increasing - it's just the experts saying so.
  3. fentanyl is not an issue because still more and more people are dying from - it's just the experts saying so.
See where this is going?
 
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Pommer

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I can see that. There are many things we could do to mitigate potential damage - but not everyone agrees on what to do.
No more “houses made of sticks”.
Quarried rock and cement or straight up concrete for most residential housing.
Only the very very rich and the very very poor will have “wooden houses”.

If we line more areas with some sort of heat-sink paving we could keep the oceans from over-heating while our kilns bake in Sol’s golden glow?
 
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rambot

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You are doing very well and I am still very interested if you are willing to share more.
OK.

Earlier I spoke about the carbon cycle and I alluded to the difficulty maintaining stasis and the slow increasing we are seeing in atmospheric co2.
Ultimately increasing co2 is not across the board problematic for humans. As has been brought up before higher co2 levels increases plant productivity. That's can't be denied. Of course that is a separate issue from the possible effect on temperature and it's own discussion so im leaving that issue for now.

Within those cycles of carbon we can remember that all of those molecules of carbon were also trapping heat. For hundreds of millions of years those co2 molecules contributed to maintaining a homeostasis in the biosphere; a warm comfortable temperature for terrestrial animals to develop and live and evolve. Other molecules also worked to trap heat and they also contributed to that homeostasis. And all of these molecules existed in amounts that were basically stable. Simply put, thr planet and biosphere could never exhibit an event major enough to quickly destabilize anything; only outside forces would be able to do that. Slow changes occurred over hundres of thousands to millions of years except with certain events. Even comparing co2 records with asteroid/ major space events definitely shows warming events and spiked co2 levels that, in time, come back under control (thanks again to the plants) but that out took millions of years for plants to do.

But it is telling that it was a force outside of nature, a comet that would create these profound and relatively sudden changes.

All still good?


I was thinking that it seems that your biggest hangup seems to be the "imminent threat" argument.

I was planning to now move toward the quality of modern evidence that we have and what we have seen. But if you prefer I can shift to discussing imminent threat
 
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Zaha Torte

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So you think that some countries aren't doing enough, so therefore there can't be a problem. Is that seriously the basis for your position? Maybe you can point to any country who has done literally nothing. You must have a list handy as you're basing your very position on the fact.

I've already checked out North Korea and the smallest countries in Africa, South America and Asia so you can skip those.
If climate change is caused by human beings and is an "imminent threat" to all - wouldn't we expect some action against the countries that don't do anything?

If I truly believed that my neighbor's actions were going to kill me and my family - like if he was haphazardly shooting a gun off or something - I would do something about it - because I care about my family and our safety.
 
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Zaha Torte

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By that reasoning:
  1. smoking is not a health issue because a lot of people continue or even start to smoke - it's just the experts saying so.
  2. obesity is not a health issue, because a lot of people are not trying to lose weight, obesity is even increasing - it's just the experts saying so.
  3. fentanyl is not an issue because still more and more people are dying from - it's just the experts saying so.
See where this is going?
If someone smoking was killing everyone everywhere - then I would expect some action.

If someone being obese was killing everyone everywhere - then I would expect some action.

If someone consuming fentanyl was killing everyone everywhere - then I would expect some action.

The reason I am not personally flipping out about smoking, obesity and fentanyl is because they do not personally affect me.

If these things were hurting me and my family - I could flip out - and I would take action.
 
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Zaha Torte

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No more “houses made of sticks”.
Quarried rock and cement or straight up concrete for most residential housing.
Only the very very rich and the very very poor will have “wooden houses”.

If we line more areas with some sort of heat-sink paving we could keep the oceans from over-heating while our kilns bake in Sol’s golden glow?
Sure, why not?
 
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essentialsaltes

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If climate change is caused by human beings and is an "imminent threat" to all - wouldn't we expect some action against the countries that don't do anything?

If I truly believed that my neighbor's actions were going to kill me and my family - like if he was haphazardly shooting a gun off or something - I would do something about it - because I care about my family and our safety.

But it's not just one neighbor. Everyone in your town is haphazardly shooting guns off, and you are too!

At the moment, the people of the town have barely been able to come to the agreement that everyone gets to shoot 10 bullets a day and no more.

But more than half the town is disregarding the agreement.

How would you start punishing them?

--

Here's another relevant metaphor:

Tragedy of the commons

The tragedy of the commons is a metaphoric label for a concept that is widely discussed, and criticised, in economics, ecology and other sciences. According to the concept, should a number of people enjoy unfettered access to a finite, valuable resource such as a pasture, they will tend to over-use it, and may end up destroying its value altogether. Even if some users exercised voluntary restraint, the other users would merely supplant them, the predictable result being a tragedy for all.
 
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Zaha Torte

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OK.

Earlier I spoke about the carbon cycle and I alluded to the difficulty maintaining stasis and the slow increasing we are seeing in atmospheric co2.
Ultimately increasing co2 is not across the board problematic for humans. As has been brought up before higher co2 levels increases plant productivity. That's can't be denied. Of course that is a separate issue from the possible effect on temperature and it's own discussion so im leaving that issue for now.

Within those cycles of carbon we can remember that all of those molecules of carbon were also trapping heat. For hundreds of millions of years those co2 molecules contributed to maintaining a homeostasis in the biosphere; a warm comfortable temperature for terrestrial animals to develop and live and evolve. Other molecules also worked to trap heat and they also contributed to that homeostasis. And all of these molecules existed in amounts that were basically stable. Simply put, thr planet and biosphere could never exhibit an event major enough to quickly destabilize anything; only outside forces would be able to do that. Slow changes occurred over hundres of thousands to millions of years except with certain events. Even comparing co2 records with asteroid/ major space events definitely shows warming events and spiked co2 levels that, in time, come back under control (thanks again to the plants) but that out took millions of years for plants to do.

But it is telling that it was a force outside of nature, a comet that would create these profound and relatively sudden changes.

All still good?


I was thinking that it seems that your biggest hangup seems to be the "imminent threat" argument.

I was planning to now move toward the quality of modern evidence that we have and what we have seen. But if you prefer I can shift to discussing imminent threat
Imminent threat.
 
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Zaha Torte

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But it's not just one neighbor. Everyone in your town is haphazardly shooting guns off, and you are too!

At the moment, the people of the town have barely been able to come to the agreement that everyone gets to shoot 10 bullets a day and no more.

But more than half the town is disregarding the agreement.

How would you start punishing them?

--

Here's another relevant metaphor:

Tragedy of the commons

The tragedy of the commons is a metaphoric label for a concept that is widely discussed, and criticised, in economics, ecology and other sciences. According to the concept, should a number of people enjoy unfettered access to a finite, valuable resource such as a pasture, they will tend to over-use it, and may end up destroying its value altogether. Even if some users exercised voluntary restraint, the other users would merely supplant them, the predictable result being a tragedy for all.
If these countries truly believed what they claimed, then nothing short of war would be the logical threat.
 
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essentialsaltes

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If these countries truly believed what they claimed, then nothing short of war would be the logical threat.
Your attitude seems to be, "Why should I do anything, If my government isn't doing anything?"

When maybe it should be, "Why isn't my government doing anything, when something needs to be done?"

Rather than passively accept the situation, you could work in some tiny way to tell your representatives in government to do something.
 
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Zaha Torte

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Your attitude seems to be, "Why should I do anything, If my government isn't doing anything?"

When maybe it should be, "Why isn't my government doing anything, when something needs to be done?"

Rather than passively accept the situation, you could work in some tiny way to tell your representatives in government to do something.
My attitude is that there is no imminent threat but there are a lot of people who are trying to make money and gain power on the claim that there is an imminent threat.
 
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rambot

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Imminent threat.
Fair enough.
There are a lot of ways increases in thr atmospheric nrg could be threats to people living in certain areas.

Which of the reported imminent threats do you take exception to and want to address first.


Sea level rise
Arctic stream collapse
Sea acidification
Localized heating trend
Localized drought trend
Localized increase in high energy weather output events or severity (lightening)

There's others but lets start with one of those.
 
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Zaha Torte

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Fair enough.
There are a lot of ways increases in thr atmospheric nrg could be threats to people living in certain areas.

Which of the reported imminent threats do you take exception to and want to address first.


Sea level rise
Arctic stream collapse
Sea acidification
Localized heating trend
Localized drought trend
Localized increase in high energy weather output events or severity (lightening)

There's others but lets start with one of those.
Start from the top and we will work our way down.
 
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