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Discussion and Debate
Discussion and Debate
Physical & Life Sciences
Earth in hot water? Worries over sudden ocean warming spike
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<blockquote data-quote="Hans Blaster" data-source="post: 77665105" data-attributes="member: 396028"><p>Predictions are better than post-dictions. That was the point. You dismiss climate models in general and I presume the ones used to forecast forward from today. The accuracy of the past model demonstrates the usefulness of the model to cover future conditions.</p><p></p><p></p><p>You write this as if the models are simple or crude. They are not. They are detailed calculations that require significant computational effort. We fully understand the limitations of various models.</p><p></p><p>As you have no doubt already been told. It is not the specific value of the past global average temperature that matters, but the impact to *US* in the *PRESENT DAY* of *RAPID* change in temperature and the consequences of it including massive economic damage. Our society and economy is built around the climate being what it is, the availability of fresh water being what it is and the location of the sea coasts being where they are. A rapid change in climate at our own hands would be extremely disruptive to humanity.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Hans Blaster, post: 77665105, member: 396028"] Predictions are better than post-dictions. That was the point. You dismiss climate models in general and I presume the ones used to forecast forward from today. The accuracy of the past model demonstrates the usefulness of the model to cover future conditions. You write this as if the models are simple or crude. They are not. They are detailed calculations that require significant computational effort. We fully understand the limitations of various models. As you have no doubt already been told. It is not the specific value of the past global average temperature that matters, but the impact to *US* in the *PRESENT DAY* of *RAPID* change in temperature and the consequences of it including massive economic damage. Our society and economy is built around the climate being what it is, the availability of fresh water being what it is and the location of the sea coasts being where they are. A rapid change in climate at our own hands would be extremely disruptive to humanity. [/QUOTE]
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Earth in hot water? Worries over sudden ocean warming spike
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